The unbeaten Denver Broncos (3-0) travel to the Sunshine State as they battle the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-2) in inter-conference action Sunday. The game kicks off at 4:05 pm ET from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Regional television coverage for the contest is provided by CBS. The latest line for the game shows the Broncos as a 3 point favorite with the over/under set at 43 points.
Broncos vs. Buccaneers Vegas Game Preview
Denver remained unbeaten as they knocked off the Bengals 29-17 on the road last week. Tampa Bay lost their second straight with a 37-32 loss to the Rams at home last week. This is the ninth all-time meeting between the franchises. Denver holds a 6-2 advantage in the series and won the last three. That includes a 31-23 win at home on December 2, 2012 in the last meeting. Tampa Bay last won in the series on September 26, 1999, when they took a 13-10 win at home.
Free Point Spread Pick & Prediction: Broncos -3
Denver isn’t bowling anyone over offensively: it’s the defense that makes things work. The Broncos average 354 yards of offense but rank 4th in scoring offense with 28 points per game. Denver’s defense has five takeaways and a dozen sacks this season and scored twice against Indianapolis in week 2. Trevor Siemian can exploit the Tampa Bay pass defense. Demaryius Thomas has a huge height advantage on Alterraun Verner while Emmanuel Sanders deals with Brent Grimes. Grimes was a Pro Bowl corner in the past but really seems to have lost a step or two. The Buccaneers allow 272 yards per game through the air. Tampa Bay has only five sacks and two takeaways on the year. It all adds up to a 105.5 opposing QB rating against the Bucs. Siemian is foaming at the mouth to get the ball.
Tampa Bay put together a spirited performance last week in a back and forth game with the Rams. The Buccaneers turn the ball over far too often, which is dangerous against a ball hawking Denver defense. Tampa Bay committed eight turnovers already this year with Jameis Winston throwing six interceptions. Those numbers aren’t pretty. Tampa Bay is dead last in scoring defense, allowing 33.7 points a game. If the Buccaneers turn the ball over like they have this season that number could go up by the time this game is over. Tampa Bay’s offense averages 383 yards of offense per game but Denver allows just 306 yards a contest. The Broncos are tied for eighth in scoring defense by allowing 19 points a game. Denver holds opposing QBs to 174.3 passing yards a game and a 66 passer rating.
The Buccaneers are in trouble here. They’re a young team and they have a penchant to turn the ball over. Winston has only taken five sacks this year. Seventeen of his passes have been broken up and six others ended up in the hands of opposing players. Denver is aggressive and will go after Winston. The Buccaneers don’t have the ability to block Von Miller, Shane Ray and T.J. Ward while still deploying multiple receivers for Winston to look for. The Broncos have a big day on both sides of the ball and deliver the win here. For more week 4 picks, check here to get the rundown on the schedule!
The Broncos are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Denver is also 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Buccaneers are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 home games. Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.