The Denver Broncos travel to Los Angeles this weekend to take on the Chargers in an AFC West showdown. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, October 22 at StubHub Center in Carson, California. The game will be televised on CBS.
Oddsmakers currently have Los Angeles listed as 1.5-point home favorites. Early betting has changed the line substantially, as the Broncos were early-week favorites while opening at -2.5. The over/under for the game is 42 points. Click here for a full list of the Week 7 betting odds and links to more game previews.
Broncos vs Chargers Vegas Game Odds & Betting Predictions
Denver enters this game with a 3-2 record on the year after an embarrassing loss at home to the New York Giants last Sunday night. The Broncos were huge favorites against a winless Giants team that was missing Odell Beckham Jr., Brandon Marshall, AND Sterling Shepard. Denver QB Trevor Siemian looked awful, completing just over 50% of his passes and throwing two costly interceptions. RB C.J. Anderson also struggled, as he only managed to rush for 17 yards against a Giants defense ranked in the bottom 10 against the run league-wide. On the other side of the ball, the Broncos managed to contain a depleted New York receiving corps. However, they did allow RB Orleans Darkwa to rush for 117 yards.
The Chargers have played very well recently, winning two consecutive games against the Raiders and the aforementioned New York Giants. Despite his age, QB Phillip Rivers has managed to stay effective for Los Angeles. RB Melvin Gordon has helped shoulder some of the load offensively, rushing for almost 200 yards over his last two games while adding three touchdowns. Los Angeles has also had to face the additional challenge of rebounding from an 0-4 start to the year. The Chargers will need to be effective on the ground again this week, as this Broncos secondary is still one of the best in the entire NFL. However, despite ranking #1 overall in run defense, they have shown a tendency to allow the occasional big game on the ground. Gordon was able to find the end zone against Denver in their Week 1 meeting – it’s something he will likely have to do again this week if Los Angeles hopes to emerge victorious at home on Sunday afternoon.
Free NFL Betting Prediction: Chargers -1.5
These two teams played a really tightly-contested game back in Denver during Week 1. I’m definitely expecting more of the same this week in Los Angeles. The Chargers certainly haven’t benefited from any sort of home-field advantage this year, as they are currently 0-3 at “home”. I use that term loosely because the StubHub Center has frequently been filled with an astonishing number of visiting fans, especially in Week 3 against the Eagles.
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All the recents trends seem to favor the Broncos in this spot, especially when analyzing their record ATS against AFC West opponents. Denver is 14-4 ATS on the road in their last 18 games against a divisional opponent. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with the Chargers on the road. In spite of all of that history, I still can’t shake how bad the Broncos looked last week against the Giants. I don’t have any faith in a rebound performance from Trevor Siemian this week, especially against a more than capable Los Angeles secondary.
These two teams really do look like they are going in opposite directions, and I feel slightly more comfortable riding with the hotter team. The Chargers have been playing good football lately and I really feel that their 2-4 record is somewhat deceptive. If they hadn’t had problems kicking field goals during the first several weeks of the season, they could easily be 3-3 or 4-2. This should be an entertaining divisional match-up that stays close to the very end of the 4th quarter. Although I think this game is pretty much a toss-up, I’m going to take Los Angeles to win their third game in a row while finally breaking through at home.