This Sunday the Denver Broncos (1-0) will host the Oakland Raiders (0-1). Kickoff for this AFC West showdown is set for 4:25 EST at Mile High Stadium and will be televised locally on CBS.
Taking a look at the Week 2 NFL odds, oddsmakers opened this game at Denver -6 and a total of 45. The spread has stayed firm at 6, but the total has climbed up to 45.5 and even 46 at some books.
Broncos vs Raiders Game Betting Preview & Vegas Odds
Oakland comes into this one off a 33-13 loss at home to the Rams as a 6-point dog on Monday Night Football in Week 1. It was a disappointing end result in head coach Jon Gruden’s first game back with the Raiders. Oakland kept it close early, as they actually led 13-10 at the half, but were outscored 23-0 in the final 2 quarters.
The Broncos got the 2018 season started off on the right foot, as they defeated the Seahawks 27-24. Denver was laying less than a field goal in the days leading up to the game, but closed as a 3-point favorite. There was good and bad for Broncos new starting quarterback Case Keenum. While Keenum threw for 329 yards and 3 scores, his 3 interceptions kept the Seattle in the game.
These two teams split their two meetings last year with the home team winning and covering in each contest. Denver won 16-10 at home in Week 4 as a 3.5-point favorite and the Raiders won 21-14 at home as a 3.5-point favorite.
Free NFL Pick Against the Spread: Raiders +6
I would have to lean towards grabbing the points with the Raiders in this one. I just think this line is a bit of an overreaction to what we saw in Week 1. I’m not saying Denver shouldn’t be favored, but I don’t think they should be almost a touchdown favorite here.
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I think the Broncos are getting a little too much respect for a win over what I believe is a Seahawks team that isn’t all that great outside of Russell Wilson. I would be shocked if Seattle ended up in the playoffs this year. On the flip side of this, I think people are writing off Oakland after a 20-point home loss to the Rams. I actually thought the Raiders played well in that game. The Rams are just loaded with talent and are going to do that to a lot of teams this year.
I was impressed with the 395 total yards that Oakland racked up against LA, as they actually outgained the Rams by 30 yards on the game. I know the Broncos defense looked great, but they had such a big advantage in the trenches with all the talent they have up front and Seattle having one of the worst offensive lines in the league. Derek Carr was only sacked once by a Rams front that features arguably the two best defensive tackles in the game. They are going to be primed for Von Miller and the Broncos pass rush.
Another factor here that has me thinking the spread is a little high here, is the fact that only once in the last 3 seasons (6 meetings) have the Broncos beat Oakland by more than 6-points. That one doesn’t really count in my book, as that was back in Week 17 of the 2016 season where the Raiders were without Carr after he broke his leg the previous week.
I know it’s a new team with Gruden, but it’s worth noting that the Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 off a double-digit loss at home (I think a lot of teams perform well in this spot, as they are highly motivated and a little undervalued on the line).
A lot of people think Denver has a big home field edge, but they are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. They are also just 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 off a SU win. I’ll gladly take my chances with the Raiders, who I believe are a live dog in this one. Give me Oakland +6.