This Sunday the Baltimore Ravens (1-1) will host the Denver Broncos (2-0). Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at M&T Bank Stadium and will be televised locally on CBS.
The books opened this game at Baltimore -5.5. It went down to 5 at a lot of books, but appears to be climbing back up to 5.5 and I even see a 6 at some books. Click here for a full look at the Week 3 NFL odds and for more links to our game previews.
Broncos vs Ravens Vegas Game Preview & Betting Odds
Denver comes into this one off a thrilling 20-19 win at home over the Raiders, but did fail to cover as a near touchdown favorite. The Broncos had to feel fortunate to get that win, as they trailed 12-0 at the half and didn’t take their first lead until Brandon McManus connected on a 36-yard field goal with 6 seconds left in regulation. That’s two late rallies for Denver to start the year, as they trailed 24-20 in the 4th quarter of their 27-24 win against Seattle in Week 1.
Baltimore couldn’t overcome an early deficit in their 23-34 loss to the Bengals on Thursday Night Football. Cincinnati led 21-0 early in the 2nd quarter. The Ravens got it to 23-28 with just under 10 minutes to play in the 4th quarter, but ran out of gas. A lot of people thought Baltimore was going to win that game, as that line was right around a pick’em leading up to kickoff.
Free NFL Pick & Betting Predictions: Ravens -5.5
I would have to lean towards laying the points with Baltimore at home in this one. I think a lot of people will be hesitant to take the Ravens off that loss the Bengals, plus you got the Broncos coming into this game as one of the seven teams without a loss in 2018. I’m extremely confident Baltimore will not only win, but do so by at least a touchdown. There’s some decent value at 5.5 compared to 6 and not much difference between 5 and 5.5, so don’t be afraid to bet this now if you like the Ravens.
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What a lot of people are going to overlook or forget to factor with Baltimore’s loss to the Bengals, is just how hard it is to play on the road with just 3 days in between games. It’s a big reason why I was on the Bengals in that game and I think it had a lot to do with the Ravens getting down big early. Once they got settled in there was no question they were the better team. You just aren’t going to win many games with a -3 turnover differential. They actually outgained the Bengals 425 to 373 and had 28 first downs in the game.
The key here is that the tough scheduling spot in Week 2 turns into an advantage the following week, as Baltimore will have had 3 more days to prepare for this game than Denver.
I also really like what I’ve seen from Joe Flacco and the Ravens offense. Flacco was 25 of 34 for 236 yards and 3 scores against the Bills in Week 1 and could have thrown for more if it wasn’t such a big blowout. He had some costly turnovers against Cincinnati, but threw for another 376 yards and two scores. Note that after Week 2 of last year, Flacco had just 338 passing yards.
I look for that passing attack to have a lot of success here against this Broncos defense. Derek Carr went 29 of 32 for 288 yards against them last week and Russell Wilson had 298 yards against them in Week 1.
I’m also not the least bit sold on this Broncos team. I think they have beat a couple of average and maybe even below-average teams in the Seahawks and Raiders. Not to mention they could have lost both of those, as they trailed in the 4th quarter of each.
Case Keenum already has more than half as many picks as he had all of last year. He didn’t play well at all against Oakland and I just think this offense is going to have a miserable time moving the ball against a very good Ravens defense. I know C.J. Mosley might not play, but I don’t think it changes the outcome. Denver was just 1-7 away from home last year and I wouldn’t be shocked if this turned into a blowout. Give me the Ravens -5.5