The Miami Dolphins (2-8) travel to Ohio this weekend for an all-AFC clash with the Cleveland Browns (4-6). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on November 24th at FirstEnergy Stadium and the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Browns listed as 11-point home favorites. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as Cleveland is currently available at -11. The total for this matchup is 46 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 12 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Browns vs Dolphins Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Dolphins couldn’t find a way to win their third game in a row last weekend, falling 37-20 on the road against Buffalo to drop to 2-8 on the season overall. Miami fell behind 23-14 in the first half and never recovered, giving up two more touchdowns over the final two quarters of the game en route to a double-digit defeat. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick went 32/45 for 323 passing yards through the air while RB Kalen Ballage found the end zone despite rushing for only nine yards on a team-high nine carries. DeVante Parker led the way for the receiving corps, making seven catches for 135 yards. As a whole, the Dolphins generated almost 350 total yards of offense but only scored two touchdowns against a tough Bills defense.
Miami really struggled defensively against the Bills, allowing well over 400 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. The Dolphins had no answer for Buffalo WR John Brown, as he torched the secondary for 137 yards and two touchdowns on a game-high nine receptions.
The Browns improved to 4-6 on the season overall their last time out, beating Pittsburgh 21-7 on Thursday Night Football. Myles Garrett was the talk of the football world for well over a full week, as the star defensive end was suspended indefinitely following his actions late in the fourth quarter. Cleveland had a very successful evening otherwise, as they jumped out to a 14-0 lead in the first half and cruised to victory down the stretch. QB Baker Mayfield went 17/32 for 193 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air to lead the way on offense. RB Nick Chubb was a monster on the ground, racking up 92 yards on a game-high 27 carries. Jarvis Landy also chipped in, finding the end zone on one of his four catches for 43 yards. Overall, the Browns gained close to 300 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns in the victory.
Cleveland had a fantastic outing on the other side of the ball in Week 11, holding the Steelers to just a single touchdown despite giving up almost 300 total yards of offense. The Browns were especially strong defending against the pass, as they forced four interceptions.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: Dolphins +11
I think the Dolphins currently offer pretty decent value against the spread in this particular spot, as they have certainly been playing much better on both sides of the ball as of late. While Cleveland should still find a way to win this game outright, they really haven’t fared all that well against the spread through their first ten games. In fact, they are just 3-6-1 ATS overall since the beginning of the season, including a brutal 1-3-1 record against the spread at home. Of course, Miami has had more than their fair share of issues as well, but they have still found a way to cover the number in three out of their last four outings on the road and go 5-1 ATS over their last six games overall.
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The Browns have yet to find any consistent success offensively so far this year, averaging under 20 points per game since Week 1. It’s always tough to lay double-digit points with such an unreliable offense, even if Miami is giving up an average of 30 points per game. Cleveland has also had an up and down season defensively, currently surrendering an average of over 22 points on a week to week basis. Ultimately, I think that the Dolphins will be able to put up enough points in this all-AFC matchup to grind out an ugly road cover. I’ll take a shot with the road underdog on Sunday afternoon – give me Miami!