This Sunday the Oakland Raiders (0-3) will host the Cleveland Browns (1-1-1). Kickoff is set for 4:05 EST at the Coliseum and will be televised locally on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Raiders as a 2.5-point home favorite. That’s still the number at most places, but some books do have Oakland at -3 now. The total for this matchup is currently at 45 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 4 NFL odds and for more links to our game previews.
Browns vs Raiders Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview
Cleveland was finally able to get a win. The Browns defeated the Jets 21-17 on Thursday Night Football in Week 3. Cleveland covered as a 3-point favorite and in the process put an end to their 19-game losing streak. Rookie quarterback, Baker Mayfield, was forced into action after an injury to starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor. He didn’t disappointment, guiding the Browns back from a 14-0 deficit.
Oakland is still searching for their first win of 2018. The Raiders fell 28-20 on the road to the Dolphins in yet another 2nd half collapse. Oakland has had the lead at the half in all 3 of their losses. They have also blown a double-digit lead in each of their last two games against Denver and Miami.
These two teams last met in 2015, which the Raiders won 27-20 as a 3.5-point road dog. Cleveland had won the previous two meetings and are 5-3 against Oakland dating back 2005.
NFL Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Raiders -2.5
I would have to lean towards laying less than a field goal with the Raiders at home. I just think this is too good a price to pass up on Oakland in this spot. The Raiders have no one but themselves to blame for their 0-3 start, but they certainly aren’t as bad as their 0-3 record. This team could easily be 2-1 and I think there’s no way they aren’t more than a field goal favorite in that scenario. Either way, Oakland has to feel like this is a must-win game to keep their season alive.
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I also think the hype around the Browns, especially with how good Mayfield looked in his debut, has Cleveland overvalued right now. Yes, the Browns have a good defense and there’s no denying that Mayfield looked like a massive upgrade of Taylor, but that win was against the Jets. I like the direction Cleveland is going, but they are at least a year away from being a team you can count on to deliver away from home.
That’s the biggest thing here for me. As good as Mayfield looked, he was fortunate to not have a couple passes intercepted. Unlike Taylor, who really values the football (arguably too much), Mayfield is going to take chances. I think it’s going to lead to a lot of turnovers and it’s really hard to win in this league when you lose the turnover battle, especially on the road. Let’s also not forget the Jets went into that game with a game-plan for Taylor at quarterback not Mayfield.
The biggest concern here is without a doubt the Raiders offense up against the Browns defense. Cleveland’s stop unit is greatly improved, but they could be down potentially 3 starters in Emmanuel Ogbah (DE), Christian Kirksey (LB) and Damarious Randall (FS). All of which are listed as questionable on the injury report.
I also think this Raiders offense is poised for a breakout performance. Oakland comes in 28th in the NFL in scoring at 17.3 ppg, but are 6th in the NFL at 400.7 ypg. Derek Carr has Oakland 6th in the league in passing at 302 ypg and they are right in the middle of the pack on the ground (98.7 ypg). Look for this unit to get on track Sunday and don’t be surprised if they aren’t aided by some short fields, which should lead to quick scores and ultimately them covering the spread. Give me the Raiders -2.5.