The Indianapolis Colts (6-6) travel to Florida this weekend for an inter-conference clash with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on December 8th at Raymond James Stadium and the game will be televised on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Bucs listed as 3-point home favorites. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as Tampa Bay is currently available at -3. The total for this matchup is 47.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 14 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Buccaneers vs Colts Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Colts lost their second consecutive game last weekend, falling 31-17 at home against Tennessee to drop back to .500 on the season overall. Indianapolis hung tough for three quarters but collapsed down the stretch, allowing 14 unanswered points over the final 15 minutes of the game. QB Jacoby Brissett certainly wasn’t at his best, going 25/40 for 319 passing yards and a touchdown but also getting picked off twice as well. RB Jordan Wilkins led the way on the ground, rushing for 47 yards on a team-high 11 carries. TE Jack Doyle was on the receiving end of the only passing touchdown of the game for the offense, hitting pay dirt on one of his six catches for 73 yards. As a whole, the Colts gained just over 400 total yards of offense and found the end zone twice despite coming up short on the scoreboard.
Indianapolis wasn’t that great defensively against the Titans, surrendering well over 300 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. The Colts had no answer for Tennessee RB Derrick Henry on the ground, allowing him to rack up 149 rushing yards and a touchdown.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Buccaneers have now won three out of their last four games after beating Jacksonville 28-11 on the road last weekend to improve to 5-7 on the season overall. Tampa Bay scored 15 unanswered points in the first quarter and never looked back, cruising to a double-digit victory over the final 45 minutes of the game. QB Jameis Winston went 21/33 for 268 passing yards through the air while RB Peyton Barber scored two touchdowns despite averaging just 2.6 yards per carry. Breshad Perriman led the way for the receiving corps, hauling in five catches for 87 yards. Overall, the Buccaneers generated just under 350 total yards and scored two touchdowns on offense in the win.
Tampa Bay had a solid outing on the other side of the ball against the Jaguars, giving up under 300 total yards of offense and just a single touchdown. The Bucs were especially impressive defending against the run, holding Jacksonville to only 49 yards on the ground.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: Colts +3
While I am actually pretty tempted by the UNDER on 47.5 total points scored, I don’t want to overreact to one solid outing from a Buccaneers defense that has been getting lit up pretty much all year. Tampa Bay did look much improved defensively in Week 13, although at least some of that success is likely do to how poorly Jaguars QB Nick Foles performed in the first half. Therefore, I’m going to take the free field goal in a game that Indianapolis could easily find a way to win outright. The Colts have hit a bit of a speed bump over the past month or so, losing three out of their last four outings. However, the Bucs are a brutal 0-5 against the spread at Raymond James Stadium so far this year, while Indy is a fantastic 3-1-1 ATS through their first five road games.
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It is also important to note that Indianapolis has absolutely dominated this matchup in recent years, going a perfect 5-0 against the spread over their last five battles with Tampa Bay. The Colts are also a very impressive 5-1 against the spread in their last six games against opponents from the NFC. On the other side, the Bucs are only 2-6 ATS over their last eight games overall and a terrible 2-10 against the spread in their last 12 meetings with teams from the AFC South. I’m going to take the field goal and roll with the road underdog on Sunday afternoon, as Indianapolis needs to win this game outright in order to keep their dwindling playoff chances alive.