After the game was postponed in Week 1, the Miami Dolphins are finally going to host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 11. Game time is set for 1:00 EST on Sunday, November 19 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The game will be available on Fox in most parts of the sunshine state.
The Dolphins opened as 3-point favorites at home. However, heavy betting in Tampa Bay’s favor has turned this game into a PK. The over/under for the game is set at 40 points. Click here for a full list of the Week 11 betting odds and links to more game previews.
Buccaneers vs Dolphins Vegas Game Odds & Betting Predictions
The Bucs are probably wishing they could have played this game in Week 1. Tampa is currently without starting quarterback Jameis Winston, who’s on the shelf with a shoulder injury. The Bucs managed to beat the Jets last week with Ryan Fitzpatrick starting, but it wasn’t pretty.
Prior to that win over the Jets, the Buccaneers had lost five games in a row. After beginning the season with playoff aspirations, Tampa Bay now sits at 3-6, last place in the NFC South. Considering how competitive the NFC is this year, the Bucs almost have to win out to have any hope of reaching the playoffs.
Things aren’t going much better for the Dolphins. Miami has lost three in a row to drop to 4-5 on the season. All hope isn’t lost just yet, as the Dolphins are only a game behind Buffalo for the second wild-card spot in the AFC. But the Dolphins have a lot of work to do.
Miami is currently the worst offensive team in the NFL, averaging just 15 points per game. Even worse is that the defense that played so well early in the season has been a disaster lately. During their current three-game losing streak, Miami’s opponents are averaging more than 37 points per game.
Free NFL Pick Against the Spread: Dolphins
Something has to give in this game between two teams heading in the wrong direction. But I’ll lean toward the Dolphins to win. Not only is Miami the home team, but the Bucs have yet to win a game on the road this season. With no spread to cover, I feel a little more comfortable siding with the Dolphins.
Miami’s offense has had plenty of problems this season. For instance, they’ve been shutout twice. But they’ve been a little better the past couple of weeks, even after trading Jay Ajayi. If Jay Cutler has the trio of DeVante Parker, Jarvis Landry, and Kenny Stills at his disposal, he can pass for a viable quarterback.
Click on the link for more free NFL betting predictions from our experts on staff.
It’s also important to note that Tampa’s defense has been inconsistent at best this season. The Bucs have been vulnerable against the pass at times this season and their front line is a little banged up. That’s not a good combination, even against a team like the Dolphins that’s struggled to score points all season.
Also, remember that the Bucs are trying to win with Fitzpatrick at quarterback. Even in last week’s win against the Jets, Fitzpatrick only completed 50% of his passes and didn’t have a completion longer than 22 yards. He’s a huge drop off in talent from Winston. With Tampa Bay’s running game being one of the worst in the league, the Bucs are quite limited offensively.
I can foresee this game being so ugly that they might have been better off playing it in the middle of a hurricane back in Week 1. There’s little reason to feel confident in either team winning, but one of them has to. Since the Bucs are yet to win on the road this season, I’ll take my chances with the Dolphins winning at home.