The New Orleans Saints (7-2) travel to Florida this weekend to battle the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-6) in what is expected to be a high scoring NFC South showdown. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on November 17th at Raymond James Stadium and the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Saints listed as 5.5-point road favorites. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as New Orleans is currently available at -5.5. The total for this matchup is 49.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 11 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Bucs vs Saints Game Odds & Betting Preview
New Orleans Saints
The Saints saw their six game winning streak come to an end last weekend after a shocking 26-9 loss at home against Atlanta. New Orleans gave up 14 unanswered points in the fourth quarter en route to their first defeat at home so far this season. QB Drew Brees certainly wasn’t at his best, going 32/45 for 287 passing yards but failing to find the end zone through the air. He definitely didn’t get a lot of help from the running attack either, as Alvin Kamara rushed for just 24 yards on a season-low four carries. Michael Thomas was pretty much the only bright spot on offense, hauling in 13 receptions for 152 yards. Overall, the Saints generated over 350 total yards of offense but failed to find the end zone in the loss.
New Orleans was fairly average defensively against the Falcons, giving up over 300 total yards of offense and two touchdowns. The Saints did a pretty good job slowing down WR Julio Jones, holding him to just three catches for 79 receiving yards.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs snapped their three game losing slide last weekend, beating Arizona 30-27 at home to improve to 3-6 on the season overall. Tampa Bay had a 17-13 lead at the half and managed to hold on down the stretch after outscoring the Cardinals 10-7 in the fourth quarter. QB Jameis Winston had an up and down game, going 30/48 for 358 passing yards and a touchdown but also getting picked off twice. Peyton Barber and Ronald Jones II both found the end zone on the ground while Mike Evans and Chris Godwin combined for 156 receiving yards on 10 catches. As a whole, the Buccaneers gained almost 500 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns in the victory.
Tampa Bay didn’t have a great outing on the other side of the ball in Week 10, surrendering almost 450 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. The Bucs secondary got absolutely torched by Arizona WR Christian Kirk, as he made six catches for 138 yards and three touchdowns.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: OVER 49.5
Even though the Saints look somewhat interesting against the spread, I think my favorite play from this NFC South clash is the OVER on 49.5 total points scored. I am fully expecting the Saints offense to bounce back in a big way here in Week 11, as their performance against Atlanta last weekend was more than likely just a single bad outing instead of the start of an offensive downtrend. Michael Thomas should have another massive outing against a porous Bucs secondary, while Alvin Kamara has a solid setup for a decent game catching passes out of the backfield after a slow start in his return from injury. Tampa Bay has now been involved in seven straight games where the total reached at least 50 points, so I’m more than happy to take a shot with the OVER on 49.5.
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On the other side, the Bucs offense has really been firing on all cylinders as of late, racking up 64 total points over their last two games. It is also worth noting that these teams combined for 55 points back in early October, so I’m certainly expecting the total to at least eclipse 50. The matchups on defense also help create the perfect storm for a shootout, as both teams have been very solid against the run but have been exposed through the air. With more clock stoppages and plenty of quick-strike touchdowns, it is easy to see why the total has gone OVER in two out of the last three meetings between these two NFC South rivals. Give me the OVER on 49.5 total points scored in what should be a highly entertaining divisional showdown.