The New Orleans Saints (10-2) travel to Florida this weekend to battle the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7) in what is expected to be a high scoring NFC South showdown. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on December 9th at Raymond James Stadium and the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Saints listed as 9-point road favorites. That line has moved by half a point after early betting, as New Orleans is currently available at -8.5. The total for this matchup is 57 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 14 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Bucs vs Saints Vegas Odds & Game Preview
New Orleans is coming off of a shocking loss to Dallas in Week 13, as Brees and Co. were completely shut down by a stifling Cowboys defense en route to a 13-10 defeat on Thursday Night Football. The Saints trailed 10-0 after the first quarter and 13-0 heading into halftime, which was by far their lowest first half scoring output all year. Brees, the clear front-runner for the MVP award, only threw for 127 yards and one touchdown on the night. He also had a dreadful QBR of just 16.3. Things certainly didn’t go that much better on the ground, as the dynamic duo of Kamara and Ingram combined for just 63 rushing yards. WR Michael Thomas also couldn’t get anything going, catching five passes for only 40 receiving yards. Still, New Orleans heads into Week 14 averaging 34.9 points per game (2nd overall) on 396.6 yards of total offense. They certainly have a good shot at a bounce-back performance on Sunday, as the Buccaneers have been awful defensively all season long – including giving up 40 points when these two teams met back in Week 1.
The Saints have been below average defensively through their first twelve games, allowing opponents to score 22.4 points per game (13th overall) on 354.7 total yards of offense. They have really struggled to defend against the pass, giving up an average of 279.3 yards per game through the air (30th overall).
Tampa Bay won their second straight game last weekend after an impressive 24-17 home victory over Carolina. The Bucs led 17-7 at halftime and never looked back, as QB Jameis Winston passed for 249 yards and two touchdowns while also avoiding any costly turnovers. WR Mike Evans was quiet all day, but the duo of Adam Humphries and Chris Godwin combined for almost 200 receiving yards and two touchdowns. They will both be counted on heavily again here in Week 14, as DeSean Jackson has already been ruled out again this week due to a thumb injury. As a whole, Tampa Bay is currently averaging 26.5 points per game (10th overall) on 442.7 yards of total offense.
The Buccaneers have been awful on the other side of the ball so far this season, giving up an average of 29.6 points per game (30th overall). Like New Orleans, they have really been exposed through the air, surrendering 274.4 passing yards per game (28th overall).
Free NFL Betting Prediction: New Orleans -8.5
This should easily be one of the most entertaining games on the schedule this weekend, as both of these high-flying offenses can put points on the board in a hurry. While neither team has looked good defensively, they have combined for an average of over 800 total yards of offense per game through Week 13. They also have extremely impressive passing attacks, as both quarterbacks have shown they aren’t afraid to sling the ball downfield early and often. Although I am expecting this game to stay close for a few quarters, I still like the Saints to pull away late – especially since they will be extremely motivated after a poor showing against Dallas last week.
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New Orleans is a very impressive 7-1 ATS over their last eight games against teams from the NFC. They are also 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games and 9-3 ATS this season overall. Tampa Bay is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games on grass. They are also only 3-6-1 ATS over their last ten games overall.
The Bucs handed the Saints their only loss of the season before last weeks debacle against Dallas, so I’m sure New Orleans will want to get some measure of revenge on the road here in Week 14. Brees has a great matchup against one of the worst secondaries in the league, so I’m fully expecting him to put up at least 300 yards and three touchdowns on Sunday afternoon. As long as this spread stays under double-digits, I’m going to be all over the Saints. I’m more than happy to lay the 8.5 points and take the road favorite in this spot.