The Bowling Green Falcons (3-8) travel to Amherst, New York on Friday for a MAC East clash with the Buffalo Bulls (6-5). Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST on November 29th at UB Stadium and the game will be televised on ESPN+.
Taking a look at the Week 14 college football odds, Buffalo opened as a massive 29-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Bulls are currently available at -29. The total for the game is sitting at 51.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Buffalo vs Bowling Green
Bowling Green lost their second consecutive game last week, getting crushed 66-24 at home by Ohio to drop to just 3-8 on the season overall. The Falcons gave up 28 unanswered points in the third quarter and never recovered, coming up six touchdowns short in a blowout defeat. QB Grant Loy went 21/32 for 250 passing yards and a touchdown through the air but also threw a costly interception as well. RB Davon Jones led the way on the ground, rushing for 95 yards and a touchdown on a team-high 16 carries. Julian Ortega-Jones also chipped in, making three catches for 90 yards. Overall, Bowling Green gained close to 450 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns despite coming up well short on the scoreboard.
The Falcons were brutal on the other side of the ball against Ohio, getting lit up for close to 650 total yards of offense and nine touchdowns. Bowling Green had no answer for Bobcats RB O’Shaan Allison, allowing him to rack up 175 rushing yards and three touchdowns on the ground.
Buffalo has now won four out of their last five games after beating Toledo 49-30 at home last weekend. The Bulls jumped out to a 28-20 lead in the first half and cruised to a double-digit victory down the stretch, outscoring the Rockets 21-10 over the final 30 minutes of the game. QB Kyle Vantrease went 13/20 for 172 passing yards and a touchdown through the air while also finding the end zone once on the ground as well. RB Jaret Patterson was basically unstoppable, rushing for 192 yards and four touchdowns on a game-high 32 carries. Antonio Nunn led the way for the receiving corps, hauling in five catches for 89 yards. As a whole, Buffalo generated over 500 total yards of offense and scored seven touchdowns against a shell-shocked Rockets defense.
The Bulls weren’t nearly as impressive defensively against Toledo, giving up around 400 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. Buffalo couldn’t find a way to slow down Rockets RB Bryant Koback, as he averaged almost six yards per carry and found the end zone once as well.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Buffalo -29
I’m definitely leaning towards taking the Bulls against the spread here in Week 14, as there is no doubt that they have been the far superior team on both sides of the ball this season. Bowling Green hasn’t fared very well against the spread through their first 11 games either, going just 3-8 ATS. The Falcons are also a brutal 0-5 against the spread over their last five road games as well, which certainly doesn’t bode well for them on Friday afternoon. Buffalo has been pretty consistent at UB Stadium this year too, covering the number in four out of their last five outings at home.
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It is also important to point out that the Bulls have completely dominated this MAC East rivalry over the past couple of seasons, going a perfect 5-0 against the spread in their last five meetings with the Falcons. Buffalo is also a rock-solid 5-1 against the spread over their last six games overall. On the other side, Bowling Green is only 2-8 against the spread in their last ten outings. The Falcons are also an embarrassing 0-3 against the spread in their last three road games against MAC opponents as well. I’m going to lay the boatload of points and take a shot with the big home favorite on Friday afternoon – give me the Bulls to cover at home!