This Thursday the Kent State Golden Flashes will host the Buffalo Bulls in MAC play. Kickoff is set for 7:00 EST at Dix Stadium and will be televised on the CBS Sports Network.
Oddsmakers opened up this game at Buffalo -3.5, but early money on the Bulls has Buffalo currently listed as a 6-point road favorite. The total opened at 55.5 and is up slightly to 56.5.
Click here for a full look at the Week 12 NCAAF odds and for more links to our game previews.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Buffalo vs Kent State
Buffalo Bulls (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS)
The Bulls come into this one winners of three straight, all three coming by at least 21-points. The most recent was a 43-14 thrashing of Eastern Michigan as a mere 1.5-point favorite.
Buffalo has gone from one of the worst teams to back against the spread early on to absolute covering machines. Bulls failed to cover the spread in each of their first 3 games and were just 1-4 ATS in their first five overall. Since then they have covered 4 straight.
While Buffalo is just 1-game back of Miami (OH) for the top spot in the MAC East, but there chances are pretty slim of catching the RedHawks, as they already lost the head-to-head meeting. They would need to win out and have Miami lose two of their last three, which is unlikely with the RedHawks getting both Bowling Green and Akron on the schedule.
Kent State Golden Flashes (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS)
The Golden Flashes will be looking to snap a 3-game losing streak. Kent State was part of the weekday action last week, losing 35-33 at Toledo. Golden Flashes did cover in the loss as a 3.5-point dog. Kent State has covered three of their last 4.
Still plenty to play for down the stretch for the Golden Flashes. Kent State can still get to bowl eligibility if they can win out, which would be quite a feat. The Golden Flashes only bowl appearance since 1972 was in 2012, when they went 11-3. Not only have they not been to a bowl game since 2012, they haven’t won more than 4 games in any season since that postseason appearance.
Last year the Bulls defeated the Golden Flashes 48-14, easily covering as a 17-point favorite. That win snapped a streak of 8 straight wins by the road team.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Kent State +6
My early lean here would be take the points with the Golden Flashes at home. I see a ton of value here with Kent State catching almost a touchdown at home, as I would have this thing closer to a pick’em. I just think we are seeing Buffalo way overvalued due to them coming in having absolutely destroyed the last 3 teams they have played.
Click on the link for more free NCAAF picks from our experts on staff.
Another thing playing into the line is the simple fact that the public just doesn’t want anything to do with this Kent State team. To the public this is just another awful Golden Flashes team. That’s just not the case. Kent State’s three conference losses have all been by 7-points or less, two of those on the road against two of the better teams in Ohio and Toledo. They also had to play 3 non-conference games on the road against the likes of Arizona State, Auburn and Wisconsin.
It’s no fluke that the Golden Flashes are playing as well as they have in years, as they brought back 15 starters and are in year two under head coach Sean Lewis. While Kent State brought back a ton of experience, keep in mind the Bulls only returned 8 starters.
Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points who are coming off 3 straight conference are just 18-46 (28%) ATS since 1992 if they had 9 or fewer starters back at the beginning of the year. On the flip side of this, Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are coming off a road where they lost outright as a dog are 25-5 (83%) ATS since 2992 if they had 6+ more starters back than their opponent. Take Kent State!