The Washington State Cougars (4-4) travel to Berkeley this weekend for a PAC-12 clash with the Cal Golden Bears (4-4). Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM EST on November 9th at California Memorial Stadium and the game will be televised on the PAC-12 Network.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Washington State opened as a 7.5-point road favorite earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Cougars are currently available at -7.5. The total for the game is sitting at 51 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Cal vs Washington State
Washington State lost a heart-breaker to #7 overall Oregon on the road their last time out, falling 37-35 to drop back to .500 on the season overall. The Cougars trailed 24-20 at the end of the third quarter and couldn’t find a way to pull off the comeback despite outscoring the Ducks 15-13 over the final 15 minutes of the game. QB Anthony Gordon went 32/50 for 406 yards and three touchdowns but also got picked off twice as well. RB Max Borghi led the way on the ground, rushing for 54 yards and a score on only eight carries. Borghi also chipped in catching passes out of the backfield, making eight receptions for 70 yards. Brandon Arconado led the way for the receiving corps, hauling in nine catches for 130 yards and two touchdowns. Overall, Washington State generated 461 total yards and scored four touchdowns on offense despite coming up just short on the scoreboard.
The Cougars had a rough outing on the other side of the ball against Oregon, surrendering well over 500 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. Washington State got torched on the ground by Ducks RB CJ Verdell, as he rumbled for 257 yards and three touchdowns on a game-high 23 carries.
Cal lost their fourth consecutive game in Week 9 after getting crushed 35-0 on the road against #8 overall Utah. The Golden Bears gave up 28 unanswered points in the first half and never recovered, getting completely shutdown offensively by a rock-solid Utes defense. QB Spencer Brasch was just 7/19 for 47 passing yards while Christopher Brown Jr. only averaged 2.4 yards per carry over ten rushing attempts. None of the receiving corps found a way to get consistently open downfield against a tough secondary, as Jordan Duncan led the way despite making just two catches for 16 yards. As a whole, Cal gained just 85 total yards of offense in their fourth loss of the season.
The Golden Bears couldn’t find a way to get more stops defensively against Utah, giving up more than 450 total yards of offense and five touchdowns. Cal had no answer for Utes RB Zack Moss on the ground, as he racked up 115 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 17 carries.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: WSU -7.5
With the total looking pretty bang on to me, I think that taking the Cougars against the spread in this PAC-12 battle is the optimal play in this particular spot. While both teams have gone a combined 8-8 through the first ten weeks of the season, Washington State has been much more reliable on offense than a Cal squad that is barely averaging more than 10 points per game over their last four outings. Even though the Golden Bears should be able to turn things around offensively on Saturday evening against a below average Cougars defense, I just don’t know if they can keep pace with the high-flying WSU passing attack for four quarters. Washington State has scored at least 31 points in seven out of their first eight games, including four outings where they put up at least 40 points.
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It is also worth noting that the Golden Bears have only covered the number in three out of their last ten games overall. Cal is also a brutal 0-4 against the spread through their first four home games so far this season, which certainly doesn’t bode well for them here in Week 11. On the other side, Washington State has been involved in plenty of high scoring games away from Martin Stadium as of late, as the total has gone OVER in nine out of their last 11 road games. One final thing to remember heading into the weekend is the fact that WSU is only 3-11 straight up over their last 14 meetings with Cal – and just 5-5 against the spread in their last ten battles. So, I certainly will have no problem fading this game altogether if the spread moves even half a point higher. As things sit now though, I’ll take a shot with the road favorite – give me the Cougars to cover.