This Tuesday the Central Michigan Chippewas will host the Ohio Bobcats in MAC action. Kickoff is set for 7:00 EST at Kelly/Shorts Stadium and will be televised on ESPN2. Oddsmakers have the Bobcats as a 1-point road favorite. Click here for more free betting leans and Week 12 game odds.
Ohio vs Central Michigan Vegas Odds Preview:
The Bobcats (7-3, 5-1 MAC) come in off a comfortable 34-10 win at home against Buffalo. Ohio covered as a 17.5-point favorite, giving them three straight covers. With a win, the Bobcats will clinch a spot in the MAC Championship Game.
The Chippewas (5-5, 2-4 MAC) enter off an ugly 17-37 loss at Miami (OH) as a 1-point road favorite. That’s now 3 straight losses for Central Michigan, as they are just 2-5 in their last 7. Keep in mind this a team that started 3-0 with that big upset win on the road over Oklahoma State.
This has been a pretty lopsided series of late. Though the two teams haven’t met since 2014. Central Michigan has won last 2 and 6 of the last 7 overall. That includes a 26-23 win at Ohio in 2013 as a 20-point dog.
Free Pick & Spread Predictions: Central Michigan +1
My early lean here has to be on the Chippewas at basically a pick’em at home. Clearly things haven’t gone as planned for Central Michigan after that strong start. However, I think this is a spot where we are getting value and will get a big effort from the home team.
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Central Michigan clearly isn’t getting a lot of love right now. Not only are they 2-5 SU in their last 7, but they are 1-6 ATS during the stretch. Even with that big win over Oklahoma State, I don’t think the public will trust them against the Bobcats. This Ohio team is 6-1 in their last 7 and have covered 3 straight. That includes a 31-26 win at Toledo two weeks ago as a 15-point dog.
The key here is that there’s still a lot to play for. While it’s not a guarantee they get a bowl invite, the Chippewas need 1 more win to get to 6 on the season. Not only does that make them bowl eligible, but it ensures they won’t have a losing regular season.
With that said, that’s not the biggest motivator for this team. That would be this being the final home game of the season. This team has a lot of seniors who will want to go out with a bang in their final home game. I also look for a special effort here to make sure senior quarterback Cooper Rush goes out in style. Rush will at worst leave the school as their No. 2 all-time passer.
Speaking of Rush going out in style, this is a great matchup for the Chippewas offense. Central Michigan ranks 27th in the country in passing at 279.3 ypg. They will be going up against an Ohio defense that ranks 107th against the pass, allowing 265.7 ypg.
It’s also worth pointing out that the Chippewas are no slouches on the defensive side of the ball. They are 34th in the country in total defense, giving up just 363 ypg. You could make a strong argument that Central Michigan has the edge on both sides of the ball here. When you add in it being their home finale at night on ESPN2, I think it’s the smart play in this one.