This Thursday the Dallas Cowboys (5-5) will host the Los Angeles Chargers (4-6) in the second of three games on Thanksgiving Day. Kickoff is set for 4:30 EST at AT&T Stadium and will be televised nationally on CBS.

Oddsmakers currently have this one as either a pick’em or the Chargers as a slim 1-point road favorite with the total set at 48 points. Click here to check out our our full Week 12 NFL betting schedule and for more links to our game previews.

Chargers vs Cowboys Betting Odds & Game Preview

Los Angeles comes in off a 54-24 blowout win at home over the Bills on Sunday. The Chargers took full advantage of Buffalo’s decision to start Nathan Peterman over Tyrod Taylor. Peterman threw 5 interceptions in the 1st half, allowing LA to jump out to a 37-7 lead at intermission. Taylor would replace Peterman in the 2nd half, but the damage had already been done.

Dallas enters off a 9-37 loss at home to the Eagles on Sunday Night Football. The Cowboys looked sharp early and actually took a 9-7 lead into the half, but it was all downhill from there, as Philadelphia went on a 30-0 run after the break for a comfortable win. Dallas has now been outscored 64-16 in the two games since losing Ezekiel Elliot to suspension.

Free NFL Pick Against the Spread & Betting Predictions: Cowboys +1

I would have to lean towards taking Dallas at basically a pick’em at home against the Chargers on Thursday. I just feel this line is a huge overreaction to the Cowboys last two games. While Dallas certainly didn’t look good in either of those games against Atlanta and Philadelphia, those are two of the better teams in the NFC. LA is a team that the Cowboys can certainly get back on track against and they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record.

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Los Angeles has won 4 of 6 to get back in the hunt on the AFC West, but this is still the same team that lost at home to the Dolphins and their 4 wins over the Giants, Raiders, Broncos and Bills are nothing to get excited about. Buffalo basically gifted the Chargers a win last week with the decision to start Peterman and I just think we are seeing a big overreaction here. Los Angeles is just 5-16 in their last 21 road games and simply put should not be laying points on the road on a short week of rest.

One of the big reasons why Dallas has struggled the past two weeks without Zeke is they have also been missing arguably the best left tackle in the game in Tyron Smith. He’s targeted this game as his return from injury and while he’s still listed as day-to-day, he was taking 1st team reps in practice. I expect Smith to play and that’s not only going to allow Dallas to get back to having success on the ground, it’s going to really help get Dak Prescott and the passing game going.

It’s no secret that Dallas is a better team when they can run the football, as Prescott just isn’t quite ready to carry a team on his own. With or without Smith back at left tackle, the Chargers a team they should be able to get the running game going against. Los Angeles ranks dead last in the NFL against the run, giving up 138.9 ypg.

Another key here is that the Chargers offensive line could be decimated for this game. Starting left tackle Russell Okung, starting right tackle Joe Barksdale and starting center Spencer Pulley are all listed as questionable and with the short turnaround could struggle to get back on the field for Thursday’s game. Even if all 3 play, I think LA could struggle to get going offensively, as they have all season on the road, where they are scoring just 19 ppg. Give me the Cowboys +1.