The Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) host the Denver Broncos (3-4) this weekend in an AFC West showdown between two longtime rivals. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on October 28th at Arrowhead Stadium. The game will be televised on CBS.

Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Chiefs listed as 10-point home favorites. That line has remained unchanged after early betting, as Kansas City is currently available at -10. The total for this matchup is 55 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 8 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.

Chiefs vs Broncos Vegas Odds & Game Preview

Denver improved to 3-4 on the season after demolishing Arizona 45-10 last weekend. It was an important victory for the Broncos, as they managed to avoid losing their fifth consecutive game after a fast 3-0 start. QB Case Keenum was average at best in the victory, passing for just 161 yards and a touchdown. Keenum hasn’t been great in his first season with Denver, as he has thrown more interceptions (nine) than touchdowns (8) through seven games. RB Phillip Lindsay is really starting to role as of late, as he rushed for 90 yards against a weak Cardinals run defense in Week 7. Lindsay will likely even have more of a role in the offense this week, as Royce Freeman is expected to be out with an ankle injury. The dynamic receiving duo of Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas has been finding the end zone a bit less than usual, although Thomas is certainly pulling his weight after racking up 217 yards over the past two weeks. As a whole, Denver is currently averaging 23.6 points per game (20th) on 376.4 total yards of offense.

The Broncos have taken a bit of a step back this year defensively, although they are still around league average in terms of points allowed per game (13th overall). However, they have really struggled against the rush, as opponents are racking up 148.1 yards per game on the ground against a poor defensive line (31st overall).

Kansas City continues to be the most entertaining team in the league, scoring 40+ points yet again last weekend. NBC successfully lobbied the league into changing the schedule to show the Chiefs/Bengals in prime-time as part of Sunday Night Football. Fans of this explosive offense were not disappointed, as Kansas City dominated Cincinnati on both sides of the ball en route to a 45-10 victory. QB Patrick Mahomes put on yet another show, throwing for 358 yards and three touchdowns. Mahomes has now passed for 2,223 yards and 22 touchdowns in only seven games. He has a ton of weapons to choose from, as Tyreek Hill and Kareem Hunt both have had fantastic seasons as well. TE Travis Kelce was rather quiet against the Bengals, but he is also a threat to score for Kansas City as well. Overall, the Chiefs are scoring a ridiculous 37.1 points per game (1st overall) on 437.4 yards of total offense.

Kansas City hasn’t been nearly as impressive on the other side of the ball, as opponents are currently averaging a very healthy 26.0 points per game on 435.4 total yards of offense. They have really been bad against the pass, giving up an average of 316.6 yards per game which is second last in the NFL.

Free NFL Betting Prediction: Kansas City -10

I’m going to continue to take the Chiefs to cover the spread in most spots until they give me a reason to do otherwise. This offense simply cannot be stopped right now, as Mahomes and Co. have now scored at least 30 points in five out of their last six games. While their poor play on defense will likely prevent them a deep run in the postseason, they have repeatedly shown that they can blow below average teams out of the water. The Chiefs have only won a game by less than ten points twice so far this season, and although one of those was against the Broncos, it was also on the road. Keenum has looke progressively worse as the season goes on and I don’t really expect him to suddenly turn things around on the road at Arrowhead here in Week 9. 

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Kansas City is a very impressive 6-1 ATS over their last seven home games. They are also 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall and have averaged 42.5 points per game over the last two weeks. Denver is only 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games. They are also just 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games overall.

The Chiefs have also owned the Broncos against the spread as of late, going 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams. I’m fully expecting that trend to continue yet again on Sunday, as Mahomes is basically unstoppable right now and Keenum won’t be able to keep pace with such a prolific passing attack. While Kansas City will likely give up a big statistical game to several opponents – likely Emmanuel Sanders and Phillip Lindsay – I’m laying the ten points in this particular spot. Give me the Chiefs to cover at home.