This Saturday the San Diego Chargers (0-2) will host the Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) in a key AFC West showdown. Kickoff is set for 4:25 EST at the StubHub Center and will be televised locally on the CBS network.

Oddsmakers have Kansas City listed as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 47.5 points. Note that if you want to lay the 3 right now with KC, you are going to have to lay -120 or more at most books. Click on the link for more Week 3 NFL odds and links to our individual game previews.

Chiefs vs Chargers Vegas Game Predictions & Betting Preview

Kansas City comes into this one off a 27-20 win and cover at home over the Eagles as a 4-point favorite. It was close throughout, but like they did against New England, the Chiefs pulled away in the 4th quarter. Impressive win here for KC, who could have easily came out flat after that huge win over the Patriots in Week 1.

San Diego continued their dreadful trend of finding ways to lose close games. The Chargers missed a 44-yard field goal in the final seconds, which would have won them the game. Instead they fell to 0-2 in a 17-19 home loss to the Dolphins. Keep in mind they had a 44-yard attempt blocked in the final seconds in Week 1 against Denver. A game they lost 21-24.

The Chiefs have owned this series over the last few years. In fact, Kansas City has swept the season series 3 straight years. A lot of close losses for San Diego during this stretch. None more painful than last year’s Week 1 loss. A game they led 27-10 in the 4th quarter at Arrowhead, only to lose 27-33 in overtime.

NFL Free Betting Predictions & Pick Against the Spread: Chiefs -3

I know the public is going to be on KC here and that’s typically not the side you want to be on. However, I just can’t convince myself to bet against the Chiefs right now.

Kansas City dismantling of the Patriots looks that much more impressive after what New England did to the Saints in New Orleans in Week 2. I also think that Eagles team they beat is one of the most improved teams from last year.

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Kansas Citys’ offense is one of the few that are in prime form out of the gate. The emergence of Kareem Hunt has really taken this unit to the next level. Keep in mind last year their starting running back Spencer Ware had just 5 touchdowns on the season. Hunt has scored 5 times in two games and provides big play ability.

Add that to arguably the fastest player in the NFL in wide out Tyreek Hill and the top tight end not named Gronkowski in Travis Kelce. There’s just too many weapons for the defense to account for.

San Diego’s defense hasn’t been great, as they rank 21st, giving up 325.5 ypg. That’s against two offenses that I’m not expecting a ton out of in the Broncos and Dolphins. I look for the Chiefs to have little trouble moving the ball and putting points on the scoreboard.

The Chargers offense often gets a lot of respect because of Philip Rivers, but I have big time concerns for San Diego in this one. The Chargers have shown zero ability to run the football, ranking 31st out of 32 teams at just 54.0 ypg. The Chiefs are 2nd in the NFL in sacks through two weeks and are not a team you want to be playing behind the chains against.

A stat I don’t think a lot of people realize because of how much love Oakland gets, is that Kansas City has won 11 straight division games dating back to the 2015 season (4-0 vs Oak). I’ve already mentioned their 6-game winning streak against the Chargers.

Another thing with Kansas City is they have been covering machines on the road. The Chiefs have covered 7 straight road games dating back to last year. Chargers on the other hand are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games vs a team with a winning road record.