The Dallas Cowboys host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday afternoon in an important match-up that will have implications on both the AFC West and NFC North. Game time is 4:25 EST on Sunday, November 5 at AT & T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The game will be televised on CBS.
Oddsmakers currently have Dallas as 2.5-point home favorites. That line has increased after the Cowboys opened at -1. The over/under for the game is 54 points. Both the spread and the game total shifted dramatically on Friday morning after it was announced that Ezekiel Elliott would be available for Dallas. Click here for a full list of the Week 9 betting odds and links to more game previews.
Chiefs vs Cowboys Vegas Preview & Game Predictions
Kansas City improved to 6-2 on the season after an impressive 29-19 victory over the Denver Broncos on Monday Night Football. Somewhat surprisingly, K Harrison Butker led the way for the Chiefs – he went 5/5 on the game to improve to a perfect 15/15 over his past four games. Butker replaced Cairo Santos in Week 4 after Santos injured his groin and has been phenomenal ever since. QB Alex Smith has also been fantastic all year, as he has already eclipsed the 2,000 yard passing mark while throwing 16 touchdowns and no interceptions. RB Kareem Hunt has also been a big contributor offensively, as Kansas City is currently averaging 122.8 rushing yards a game. Defensively, the Chiefs have played extremely solid all season long. They are currently allowing an average of just 22.5 points on 392.3 yards per game.
The Cowboys will attempt to win their third consecutive game this weekend in an attempt to keep pace with the surging Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC East. As per usual, there was a lot of speculation about the availability of Ezekiel Elliot this week. It was announced earlier today that Elliott will once again be available for the Cowboys, which is obviously a huge boost for their offense. He has rushed for 690 yards and six touchdowns while averaging 4.2 yards per carry. QB Dak Prescott has thrown for over 1,500 yards while also adding 14 touchdowns. On the other side of the ball, Dallas has looked very impressive while limiting opponents to an average of 23 points on 324.9 total yards per game.
Free Pro Football Pick Against the Spread: Chiefs +2.5
This game was listed as a Pick’em until the news about Ezekiel Elliott broke earlier in the day. Prior to that, I was all over the Chiefs as I have a lot more faith in a 6-2 team than in an often over-hyped Cowboys team that is sitting at just 4-3 on the year. Even with the addition of Elliott, I still think that the best value in this particular spot is by taking the Chiefs on the road.
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Kansas City is 6-2 ATS over their past eight games and a highly impressive 9-1 ATS in their past ten games overall. They are also 7-3 ATS over their last ten games against opponents with a winning record. Dallas, on the other hand, is 2-5 ATS in their past seven home games and an alarming 0-4 ATS over their past four games against teams with a winning record.
The only real concern for me on the Chiefs side of things is their anemic red zone offense, which has been a problem all year long. However, as long as Butker continues to put points on the board and their defense plays well, I think Kansas City is extremely likely to drop the Cowboys back to .500 on the season this weekend.
The Chiefs are currently third in total offense in the entire NFL, ranking only behind New Orleans and New England. They also have the second best turnover differential in the NFL, as Alex Smith has yet to throw an interception. Dallas does have four victories this season, but the combined record of the opponents that they beat is just 7-22. I think Elliott helps keep this game close right down to the final whistle, but I think Kansas City finds a way to emerge victorious by at least a field goal.