This Sunday the Oakland Raiders (2-9) will host the Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) in the first of two meetings between these AFC West rivals in the final 5 weeks of the regular-season. Kickoff is set for 4:05 EST at the Coliseum and will be televised locally on CBS.

Taking a look at the Week 13 NFL odds, the books have have the Chiefs listed as a massive 15-point road favorite with the total set for 55.5 points.

Raiders vs Chiefs Vegas Spread & Game Preview

Kansas City will be returning from their bye week looking to bounce back from that thrilling 54-51 loss at the Rams on Monday Night Football. The Chiefs have lost two games and scored an absolutely ridiculous 91 points in their two defeats. That’s more points than the Raiders have scored in their last 7 games combined. Despite owning the best record in the AFC at 9-2, the Chiefs really need to win out, as they need to stay ahead of New England to get that No.1 seed and they are also just 1-game up on the Chargers in their own division.

Oakland enters this one off a 34-17 loss at Baltimore, failing to cover as a 10.5-point underdog. The Raiders kept it respectable early on, as they only trailed 13-10 at the half. They were also a bit unfortunate to not cover, as they turned a 10-point deficit into 17 with a fumble late in the 4th quarter that was returned 43 yards for a score by Terrell Suggs.

The Raiders were able to split the season series a year ago, thanks to a slim 31-30 home win, but that’s their only win in the last 7 meetings between these two rivals.

Free NFL Pick & Betting Predictions: OVER 55.5

I’m tempted to lay the big number here with Kansas City, as I just don’t see how Oakland is going to score enough to keep this game close. Not to mention Andy Reid is 16-3 as a NFL head coach off a bye. With that said, I just don’t trust this Chiefs defense on the road enough to lay the big number, even with the potential return of Eric Berry.

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I’m going to instead recommend a play on the OVER 55.5. We just saw Kansas City eclipse 50 points on their own in their last game against the Rams and I think if they want to, they can put up 50 against the Raiders. The Chiefs in my opinion have the most dynamic offense in the NFL. They consistently pick up big chunk plays and can score in the blink of an eye.

Kansas City leads the NFL with an average of 7.0 yards/play. Oakland is dead-last in the NFL, giving up 6.5 yards/play. Mahomes and the Chiefs are also averaging 9 yards/pass attempt and facing a Raiders defense that is giving up 8.6 yards/pass attempt. There’s one thing I’m confident about in this game and that’s the Chiefs are going to score and score a lot.

While I’m clearly banking on KC to do the heavy-lifting on the total and why I would lean to them covering, I do think the Raiders will be able to put some points on the board. The Chiefs defense is going to give up yards. It’s what they do, especially on the road, where they are giving up 34.3 ppg. I think Oakland can at least get to 20 and KC will at a minimum hit 35. That’s being on the cautious side of things, as the Chiefs are averaging 39.2 ppg on the road and the Raiders are giving up 34.2 ppg at home.

OVER is 9-2 in the Chiefs last 11 road games against AFC opponents and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Oakland (last year they combined for 61).  Give me the OVER 55.5