The Kansas City Chiefs (7-4) host the Oakland Raiders (6-5) this weekend for a critical AFC West showdown. Kickoff is set for 4:25 PM EST on December 1st at Arrowhead Stadium and the game will be televised on CBS.

Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Chiefs listed as 10-point home favorites. The spread has increased by half a point after early betting, as Kansas City is currently available at -10.5. The total for this matchup is 50.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 13 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.

Chiefs vs Raiders Game Odds & Betting Preview

Oakland Raiders

The Raiders had their three game winning streak come to an end last weekend after getting crushed 34-3 on the road against the New York Jets. Oakland gave up 21 unanswered points in the third quarter and never recovered, getting completely shutout on offense over the final two quarters of the game. QB Derek Carr wasn’t at his best, going just 15/27 for 127 passing yards and getting picked off once. Josh Jacobs couldn’t find much room on the ground, rushing for only 34 yards on a team-high ten carries. Jalen Richard led the way for the receiving corps, catching six passes out of the backfield for 47 yards. Overall, the Raiders gained just over 200 total yards of offense and failed to find the end zone in the loss.

Oakland didn’t play well defensively against the Jets, giving up over 400 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. The Raiders couldn’t find a way to slow down New York WR Robby Anderson, allowing him to haul in four receptions for 86 yards and a touchdown.

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs managed to get past the Los Angeles Chargers their last time out, winning 24-17 on Monday Night Football back in Week 11 to improve to 7-4 overall. Kansas City had a slim 10-9 lead at the half and managed to hold on for the victory down the stretch, tacking on two more touchdowns in the third quarter. QB Patrick Mahomes certainly wasn’t at his best, going 19/32 for 182 passing yards and a touchdown while also throwing an interception as well. RB Darrel Williams found the end zone on the ground despite averaging only 3.2 yards per carry against a middling Chargers run defense. TE Travis Kelce torched the secondary, racking up seven receptions for 92 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, the Chiefs generated over 300 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns in the win.

Kansas City had a decent outing on the other side of the ball against the Chargers, surrendering just a single touchdown. The Chiefs did a great job getting pressure to Los Angeles QB Philip Rivers, forcing him to throw a season-high four interceptions.

Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: UNDER 50.5

While I do think that the Chiefs will find a way to win this game outright, I also expect Oakland to throw everything they have at Kansas City in a literal must-win game for the Raiders. Ultimately, I just don’t feel all that comfortable laying double-digit points in order to take the home favorite in this spot. The Chiefs offense doesn’t have a great matchup on the ground, which means Mahomes will likely take to the air early and often against a suspect Oakland secondary. However, the weather at kickoff is expect to be less than optimal, with the temperature hovering around the freezing mark and the wind expected to exceed 20 miles per hour.

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Not wanting to throw darts against a pretty efficient looking spread in a divisional matchup with weather concerns, my favorite play in this spot is the UNDER on 50.5 total points scored. While I do expect Kansas City to find the end zone at least a couple of times, the Raiders have only scored 20 total points over their last two outings combined. That downswing is especially concerning when taking into account that those lackluster performances came against the Bengals and Jets – hardly defensive powerhouses. I’m going to avoid both sides against the spread in favor of the UNDER on 50.5 total points scored in this important AFC West clash here in Week 13.