This Sunday the Kansas City Chiefs will host the New Orleans Saints. Kickoff for this Week 7 action is set for 1:00 EST at Arrowhead Stadium. The game will be televised locally on FOX. Oddsmakers have Kansas City as a 6-point favorite with the total at 50 points.
Saints vs Chiefs Vegas Point Spread Preview
New Orleans (2-3) comes in off a thrilling 41-38 home win over the Panthers. It was almost another painful loss. The Saints had a 21-3 lead in the 2nd quarter and were up 31-17 going into the 4th quarter. Carolina tied it at 38-38, but New Orleans drove it down for the game-winning field goal.
Kansas City (3-2) returned from their bye week with a 26-10 win at Oakland. It was an impressive showing on both sides of the ball. Kansas City put up over 400 yards of offense, while holding the Raiders to just 286 yards.
Free Pick & Odds Predictions: Chiefs -6.5
This might seem like a big number for KC to be laying here. However, I think the Chiefs are flying under the radar right now. A lot of people wrote off Kansas City after the humiliating 14-43 loss at Pittsburgh a few weeks ago. However, that game got out of hand early and the Chiefs aren’t built to play from behind.
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I was really impressed with how Kansas City responded off their bye. Going on the road and really taking it to the Raiders. They completely shutdown Derek Carr and the Raiders pass-happy offense. I believe they can do the same here against Drew Brees and the Saints.
I know New Orleans put up 35-points at San Diego earlier this season, but it was misleading. The Saints only had 275 yards of total offense. They benefited from 3 turnovers by the Chargers. They also scored 14 of their 35 in the final 5 minutes of the 4th quarter.
Historically, Brees and the Saints offense just doesn’t produce outside of the Superdome. Keep in mind they only had 13 points and 288 yards of offense at New York back in Week 2. That was with the Giants turning it over 3 times as well.
The other big key here is that Arrowhead Stadium is one of the most difficult places for opposing teams to play. That place gets as loud as any place in the NFL. That makes life miserable for pass-happy teams like the Saints who like to do a lot at the line of scrimmage.
Another big factor here that could hamper the Saints offense is the injuries on the offensive line. Starting left tackle Terron Armstead has missed the last 3 games and is questionable. As his backup left tackle Andrus Peat.
Kansas City is one of the better teams in the league at taking care of the football. They also have one of the league’s best rushing attacks, which is bad news for the Saints defense. New Orleans ranks 26th against the run, giving up 117.8 ypg and 4.3 yards/carry. They also have the 31st ranked pass defense (301.6 ypg), so Alex Smith should have a big day here.
Let’s also not forget the Chiefs are a team that is 13-2 in their last 15 regular season games. They don’t get a lot of hype because of the style of play. However, you could make a strong case that they are the 3rd best team in the AFC. Especially once Justin Houston returns and Jamaal Charles starts getting a bigger role.
Saints are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 road games after scoring 25 or more in 3 straight games. KC on the other hand is 31-15 ATS in their last 46 at home against teams from the NFC.