This Sunday the Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0-1) will host the Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) in a Week 2 showdown between two AFC teams with Super Bowl aspirations. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at Heinz Field and will be televised locally on CBS.
Taking a look at the Week 2 NFL betting odds, the books opened this line at Pittsburgh -5, but it’s since been bet down to 4. The total for this matchup is 52.5 points, which is the highest over/under on the board.
Steelers vs Chiefs Vegas Betting Odds & Game Preview
Kansas City comes in off an impressive 38-28 win as a 3.5-point road dog against the Chargers in Week 1. It was the Chiefs 9th straight win over the Chargers. First year starter Patrick Mahomes led a high-powered offensive attack, throwing for 256 yards and 4 touchdowns. Tyreek Hill was once again a difference maker. He had 7 catches for 169 yards and two scores, plus had a 91-yard punt return for a TD.
Pittsburgh opened up with a 21-21 tied against division rival Cleveland. The Steelers closed as 3-point favorite, but were closer to a touchdown favorite when that line first came out. It had to feel like a loss, as Pittsburgh had a 21-7 lead with less than 8 minutes to play in regulation. Ben Roethlisberger threw for 355 yards, but had just 1 touchdown to 3 interceptions. James Conner filled in nicely for the absent Le’Veon Bell, rushing for 135 yards and 2 scores.
KC has had their problems with Pittsburgh in the past. The Steelers have won 3 straight and 6 of the last 7 overall, with the only loss coming with Ben Roethlisberger sidelined. Last year Pittsburgh ended the Chiefs perfect 5-0 start with a 19-13 win at KC and the time before that was a 18-16 win at KC in the playoffs.
NFL Betting Pick & Free Pick Predictions: Steelers -4
If I had to take a side, I would probably lay the 4-points with Pittsburgh at home coming off that ugly tie against the Browns. However, I really like this Chiefs team and they are going to be extremely motivated to win in Pittsburgh for the first time in like 32 years. I think easier pick is on the total and taking the OVER 52.5.
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My strongest play in Week 1 was the Chiefs/Chargers OVER 48. I had a really good feeling this Kansas City offense was going to put up points and at the same time would allow their fair share on the defensive side of the ball. That’s exactly what happened, as the two teams combined for 66 points and more than 900 yards of offense.
I know this is a massive total, especially compared to most of the other games on the board for Week 2, but I think these two will easily eclipse that mark.
The Chiefs put up 38 points in Week 1 and did so without much help from two of their top targets in Sammy Watkins and Travis Kelce. That just tells you the talent this team has at the skill positions and I love that Mahomes isn’t just forcing it to his star players.
The Steelers defense held the Browns to just 21 points, but that was in less than ideal conditions (heavy wind and rain). This was not the same caliber a defense last year after they lost Ryan Shazier and one I think will struggle in 2018. The big thing that stands out to me is they allowed 177 rushing yards to the Browns. Look for KC to have a balanced attack in this one.
As for the Pittsburgh offense going up against the Chiefs defense. I look for Big Ben and company to feast on this KC defense. The Chiefs allowed 541 yards to the Chargers in Week 1 and were very fortunate LA only ended up with 28 points. With Eric Berry unlikely to play and all those new faces in the secondary, this unit is going to struggle early.
OVER is also 9-3 in the Chiefs last 12 road games and 9-3 in their last 12 games played early on in the month of September. Give me the OVER 52.5.