The #17 overall Cincinnati Bearcats (7-1) host the Connecticut Huskies (2-7) this weekend for an American East showdown. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST on November 9th at Nippert Stadium and the game will be televised on the CBS Sports Network.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Cincinnati opened as a 35-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Bearcats are currently available at -35. The total for the game is sitting at 54.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Cincinnati vs Connecticut
Connecticut has now lost seven out of their last eight games after getting crushed 56-10 at home by #25 overall Navy last weekend to drop to 2-7 on the season overall. The Huskies gave up two touchdowns every quarter en route to an embarrassing defeat. QB Jack Zargiotis went 16/34 for 205 passing yards and a touchdown but also got picked off twice. RB Kevin Mensah was effective on the ground, rushing for 107 yards on a game-high 26 carries. Art Thompkins was on the receiving end of the only touchdown of the game for the offense, finding the end zone on one of his four catches for 23 yards. Overall, Connecticut gained just over 300 total yards of offense in the loss.
The Huskies obviously had a brutal outing on the other side of the ball against Navy, getting torched for almost 600 total yards of offense and eight touchdowns. UConn had no answer for the Midshipmen on the ground, surrendering around 400 yards and seven rushing touchdowns.
Cincinnati won their sixth game in a row last weekend, barely surviving a 46-43 scare against East Carolina to improve to 7-1 on the season overall. The Bearcats trailed by double digits heading into the fourth quarter before exploding for 18 points over the final 15 minutes of the game to pull off a dramatic comeback. QB Desmond Ridder had a terrible game through the air, going only 12/24 for 161 passing yards and a touchdown while also throwing two costly interceptions. Ridder did find some success on the ground, rushing for 121 yards on 12 carries. RB Michael Warren II was phenomenal, racking up 141 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Josiah Deguara also got in on the scoring parade, finding the end zone on one of his two catches for 76 receiving yards. As a whole, the Cincinnati offense generated over 450 total yards and scored five touchdowns in the win.
The Bearcats were horrendous defensively against East Carolina, allowing well over 600 total yards of offense and five touchdowns. Cincinnati couldn’t find a way to contain Pirates WR C.J. Johnson, as he exploded for 283 yards and a touchdown on a season-high 12 receptions.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 54.5
Even though the Bearcats should easily win this game outright, I’m not really that crazy about laying five full touchdowns against the spread in this spot after their defense gave up 40+ points to ECU last weekend. While Cincinnati will likely rebound defensively here in Week 11, Connecticut has still managed to score a respectable 83 total points over their last three games combined. However, the Huskies defense has been absolutely atrocious throughout the first ten weeks of the season, getting torched for 48+ points four times this year already. With the spread looking pretty efficient to me overall, I would much rather take a shot with the OVER on 54.5 total points scored in what should be a high-scoring American East battle.
Click on the link for more free college football picks from our experts on staff.
The total has now gone OVER in four out of Connecticut’s last six games overall. Despite the fact the the UNDER has come through in five straight meetings between these two programs, I still am fully expecting Cincinnati to score at least 40 points against a weak Huskies defense. I’m going to avoid throwing darts against an accurate-looking spread in favor of the OVER on 54.5 total points scored in what should be an entertaining American East clash on Saturday afternoon.