The Michigan Wolverines (9-3) travel to Orlando on New Year’s Day to battle the Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2) in the 2020 Citrus Bowl. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on January 1st at Camping World Stadium and the game will be nationally televised on ABC.
Taking a look at the full list of college bowl betting odds, Alabama is currently listed as a 7-point favorite. The total for the game is sitting at 58 points. You can also click here to check out our 2019-20 bowl predictions page.
Citrus Bowl Vegas Odds Preview: Alabama vs Michigan
Michigan saw their four game winning streak come to an end their last time out, falling 56-27 at home against Ohio State to finish the regular season 9-3 overall. The Wolverines gave up four touchdowns in the first half and never recovered, allowing the Buckeyes to tack on four more scores over the final two quarters of the game. QB Shea Patterson struggled badly, going just 18/43 for 305 passing yards and one touchdown while also getting picked off once as well. RB Hassan Haskins also chipped in, rushing for 78 yards and a touchdown on a team-high 12 carries on the ground. Overall, Michigan averaged 33 points and just over 400 total yards of offense per game through their first 12 outings.
The Wolverines were slightly above average on the other side of the ball this year, giving up close to 20 points and 300 total yards of offense per game. Michigan was especially impressive defending against the pass, allowing only 174 yards through the air on a weekly basis.
Alabama only went 2-2 over their final four games of the season, losing 48-45 on the road against Auburn at the very end of November to drop to 10-2 overall. The Crimson Tide led 31-27 at the half but couldn’t find a way to hold on down the stretch, getting outscored 21-14 over the final 30 minutes of the game. QB Mac Jones went 26/39 for 335 passing yards and four touchdowns through the air while also throwing two interceptions. RB Najee Harris was a beast on the ground, racking up 146 rushing yards and a touchdown on a game-high 27 carries. As a whole, Alabam averaged 48 points and over 500 total yards of offense per game during the regular season.
The Crimson Tide were very strong defensively this year, limiting their opponents to 19 points and just over 300 total yards of offense per game. Alabama really did a fantastic job shutting down opposing offenses through the air, surrendering under 185 passing yards per outing.
2020 Citrus Bowl Free Betting Pick & Predictions: Alabama -7
I actually don’t really mind two plays from the 2020 Citrus Bowl, as both the OVER on 58 total points scored and the Crimson Tide against the spread appear to offer pretty decent value. While Alabama has struggled after losing star quarterback Tua Tagovailoa for the rest of the season in early November, Mac Jones has done a pretty decent job keeping the offense rolling. The Crimson Tide have scored a whopping 111 total points over just their last two outings, so the change at quarterback hasn’t really been an issue. However, the defense really struggled to slow down rival Auburn to close out the regular season, getting lit up for 48 points.
Click on the link for more free college bowl picks from our experts on staff.
It is also important to note that Alabama has enjoyed the upper hand against the spread when facing the Wolverines, covering the number in two out of their last three meetings. Michigan and the Crimson Tide have certainly been involved in plenty of high-scoring battles together in recent years, as the total has now gone OVER in two out of their last three games. Alabama has really been on a roll against the spread when facing BIG 10 opponents as well, going a rock-solid 6-1 against the spread over their last seven games. I’ll lay the touchdown and roll with the favorite in this matchup while also taking a shot with the OVER on 58 total points scored – give me the Crimson Tide to cover!