The Air Force Falcons (1-0) head to Boulder in Week 3 for an afternoon showdown with the Colorado Buffaloes (2-0). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on Saturday, September 14th at Folsom Field and the game will be televised on the Pac-12 Network.
Taking a look at the Week 3 college football odds, Colorado opened as a 3.5-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has shifted by half a point after early betting, as the Buffaloes are currently listed at -3. The total for the game is sitting at 58.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Colorado vs Air Force
Air Force hasn’t played since crushing Colgate 48-7 at home in Week 1 to open their 2019 season. The Falcons scored 35 unanswered points in the first half to put the game out of reach early. QB Isaiah Sanders completed his only pass of the game, throwing a 41-yard strike to Geraud Sanders. As per usual, Air Force attacked relentlessly on the ground, racking up almost 400 rushing yards against the Raiders. Donald Hammond III had a three touchdown afternoon despite carrying the ball only five times, while Kadin Remsberg averaged 6.9 yards per carry and found the end zone twice. It will be interesting to see how the offense looks against Colorado here in Week 3, as the Buffaloes gave up almost 200 rushing yards to Nebraska in Week 1.
The Falcons defense obviously had a strong game against Colgate, as they completely shut the Raiders offense down en route to a shutout victory. Air Force was especially impressive against the pass, as QB Grant Breneman was just 9/16 for 81 yards and also threw a costly interception.
Colorado improved to 2-0 on the season last weekend after a thrilling 34-31 overtime victory over Nebraska. The Buffaloes trailed 17-7 heading into the fourth quarter but managed to outscore the Cornhuskers 24-14 over the final 15 minutes to force overtime. QB Steven Montez played well, going 28/41 for 375 yards and two touchdowns. Montez looked for WR K.D. Nixon early and often, as the pair combined for 148 yards and a touchdown. RB Jaren Mangham also had a big game, scoring a pair of touchdowns and averaging 4.0 yards per carry. As a whole, the Colorado offense racked up over 450 total yards and scored four touchdowns.
The Buffaloes defense didn’t have a great performance in Week 2, as Nebraska gained over 450 yards of total offense and scored four touchdowns. Colorado was especially poor defending against the pass, as the Cornhuskers receiving duo of Maurice Washington and J.D Spielman combined for 230 yards and two touchdowns.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Colorado -3
While I think I am leaning towards taking the over in this game as well, the best value may just lie with the Buffaloes against the spread. Colorado showed a lot of resilience in Week 2 against a tough Nebraska squad that couldn’t quite hang on at the end. It takes a lot of heart to stay within striking distance for three quarters and flip the switch during the final minutes of the fourth quarter. While I certainly don’t have much faith in their defense, their weak spot appears to be through the air. That certainly won’t help Air Force all that much, as the Falcons rarely throw the ball and prefer to pound the ball on the ground instead. While they should eat up a lot of the clock and control possession, this spread is small enough that I think Colorado can find a way to grind out a home victory and move to 3-0 on the year.
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It is also important to note how poorly Air Force has performed on the road as of late, going just 1-6 straight up over their last seven games away from home. The Buffaloes defense will certainly allow the Falcons to find the end zone at least a couple of times, but I think that the one-dimensional aspect of the Air Force offense will come back to haunt them in this one. While this matchup will likely stay close until the fourth quarter, I like Colorado to pull away late – give me the Buffaloes!