The Stanford Cardinal (4-4) head to Boulder this weekend for a PAC-12 battle with the Colorado Buffaloes (3-6). Kickoff is set for 3:00 PM EST on November 9th at Folsom Field and the game will be televised on the PAC-12 Network.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Colorado opened as a 3.5-point home underdog earlier this week. The spread hasn’t changed at all after early betting, as the Buffaloes are currently available at +3.5. The total for the game is sitting at 54.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Colorado vs Stanford
Stanford has now won three out of their last four games after beating Arizona 41-31 at home last weekend to get back to .500 on the season overall. The Cardinal scored 24 points in the second quarter and never looked back, holding the Wildcats to just a single touchdown over the final two quarters of the game. QB K.J. Costello went 31/44 for 322 passing yards and three touchdowns while RB Cameron Scarlett rumbled for 102 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. Simi Fehoko also had a multi-touchdown performance, finding the end zone twice on two of his three catches for a team-high 97 receiving yards. Overall, Stanford generated just under 500 total yards of offense and scored five touchdowns in the victory.
The Cardinals had a tough outing on the other side of the ball against Arizona, surrendering over 500 total yards and four touchdowns. Stanford struggled to contain Wildcats QB Khalil Tate on the ground, as he rushed for over 100 yards and scored a touchdown despite just nine running attempts. However, the defense did force Tate to throw two interceptions as well.
Colorado lost their fifth consecutive game last weekend, falling 31-14 on the road against UCLA to drop to 3-6 on the season overall. The Buffaloes gave up 17 unanswered points in the first quarter and never recovered, losing by double-digits for the third time in their last four outings. QB Steven Montez went 21/38 for 195 passing yards and a touchdown while also finding the end zone once on the ground. Jaren Mangham led the way out of the backfield, rushing for 77 yards on a team-high 17 carries. Tony Brown was on the receiving end of the only passing touchdown of the game for the offense, hitting pay dirt on one of his six catches for 77 yards. As a whole, Colorado gained just under 300 total yards of offense.
The Buffaloes weren’t all that great defensively against UCLA, giving up well over 400 total yards and four touchdowns. Colorado had no answer for Bruins RB Joshua Kelley on the ground, as he torched the defense for 126 rushing yards and two touchdowns on a game-high 23 carries.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 54.5
Even though I am also tempted by the Cardinal against the spread, I just can’t pull the trigger on a team that has failed to cover the number in any of their three road games so far this season. While Stanford should win this game outright, the Buffaloes have shown that they can hang with some pretty tough opponents so far this season. They only ended up losing by four points to USC at the end of October, while Stanford got torched by the same Trojans team by over three touchdowns back in Week 2. Still, the Cardinal have been the more dependable team through the first ten weeks of the season – especially on defense. However, my favorite play from this PAC-12 clash is likely the OVER on 54.5 total points, as the Colorado has given up a ridiculous 187 total points over their last five games combined.
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Stanford certainly isn’t an offensive powerhouse, although they have managed to score at least three touchdowns in three out of their last four games. I think they have a very good shot of putting up 30+ on Saturday afternoon, as the Buffaloes have allowed their opponents to score at least 30 points in nine straight games to start the year. Colorado also has shown the ability to put some points on the board, scoring 30+ five times this year already. It is also important to note that the total has gone OVER in five out of Stanford’s last seven games overall and in three out of Colorado’s last four home games as well. I think the Cardinal should do just enough to cover on the road but still prefer the OVER on 54.5 total points scored.