The Oregon State Beavers are set to travel to Fort Collins, Colorado to take on the Colorado State Rams on Saturday, August 26th. It’s will mark the official start to the 2017 college football regular season. Kickoff is set for 2:30 EST at Colorado State Stadium.
Oregon St vs Colorado St Vegas Betting Odds & Game Preview
The Beavers are coming off a 4-8 campaign in 2016. It was a big step in the right direction in year two under head coach Gary Anderson. Oregon State had gone just 2-10 in 2015. They also improved their record in Pac-12 play from 0-9 to 3-6 (T-4th in North). Anderson and his staff will welcome back 15 starters (7 offense, 8 defense).
Last year’s big upswing resulted in a solid 8-4 record against the spread. A huge improvement from their 3-9 ATS mark the previous year. While not considered a serious threat in the Pac-12 North, all signs point to an even stronger team in 2017.
Colorado State went 7-6 in 2016, despite getting upset 61-50 in their bowl game against Idaho (15-pt favorite). The Rams ended up in a 2-way tie for 4th in the Mountain of the MWC at 5-3. Just 1-game back of 1st place (3-way tie). Two of those losses in league play were by 5 at Boise St (23-28) and by only 3 at Air Force (46-49).
Colorado St also enters the 3rd year under their head coach Mike Bobo, who had the difficult task of replacing Jim McElwain. Bobo welcomes back 14 starters from last year. The Rams went 9-4 ATS and are now 33-19-1 (63.5%) ATS over the last 4 seasons.
For those of you thinking about betting on this contest. The early Week 1 lines have the Rams currently listed as a 3.5-point favorite with the total at 61 points. Note that the line originally opened with the Colorado State as a mere 2-point favorite.
Free NCAA Football Selection: Colorado State -3.5
Would have been nice to get the Rams laying less than a field goal, but I still think there’s decent value at 3.5. While Oregon State is getting better under Anderson, they are still a work in progress.
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One thing they haven’t done under Anderson is win away from home, as they are 0-11 on the road. All 11 losses coming by at least a touchdown. You also have to factor in that this home opener comes with a little extra incentive. This will be the first game in the Rams new $220 million stadium.
I mentioned earlier Colorado State’s recent success against the spread. Well, a lot of that has come in a similar spot to what we find them here. The Rams are 17-7 ATS at home and 20-10 ATS as a favorite in the past four seasons.
Some might give the edge here in coaching to Anderson, as they are familiar with his success at Wisconsin. Don’t discount Bobo, who knows how to get his offense to score points. Bobo was an offensive coordinator at Georgia prior to coming here. His last season with the Bulldogs was in 2014, where he guided the Georgia offense to 41.3 ppg. In the two seasons since his departure, the Bulldogs have averaged 26.3 and 24.5 points/game.
Last year the Rams put up 35.3 ppg and are expected to exceed that mark with starting QB Nick Stevens back. Stevens completed 64.2% of his attempts with a 19 to 5 TD-INT ratio.
Oregon State’s quarterback situation isn’t nearly as good. The Beavers want to generate their offense through the running game. Last year they were 110th in passing (173.8 ypg) and 124th in yards/attempt (5.9). That plays right into the strength of Colorado State’s defense, which has one of the top front sevens in the MWC.