This Saturday the Colorado Buffaloes (5-5) will host the Utah Utes (7-3). Kickoff is set for 1:30 EST at Folsom Field and will be televised on the Pac-12 Network.
Taking a look at the Week 12 NCAAF odds the books have the Utes listed as a 7-point road favorite with the total set for 48 points.
Colorado vs Utah Vegas Odds & Game Preview
The Buffaloes come into this one off a 31-7 loss at home to Washington State as a mere 5-point underdog. Colorado has now lost 5 straight after starting the season 5-0. They are also just 1-4 ATS during the losing streak. They are going to need a win here or a win at Cal next week to become bowl eligible.
The Utes enter off an impressive 32-25 win at home against the Ducks as a 6-point favorite. Utah put together 5 scoring drives to Oregon’s 1 in the 1st half, yet only led 19-7. The Ducks actually rallied to take a 25-22 lead midway thru the 4th quarter, but Utah scored the final 10 for a win and cover (kicked field goal with 15 seconds left). Utes are now 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
Utah won last year’s meeting 34-13 as a 9.5-point home favorite, revenging a loss at Colorado the previous year. Home team has won three straight in the series, all 3 of which have gone UNDER the total.
Free College Football Pick & Betting Prediction: Colorado +7
My early lean here would be to grab the points with the Buffaloes at home against the Utes. I just feel like Utah is getting a little too much respect here on the road given the circumstances.
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The Utes lost their dynamic quarterback in Tyler Huntley in a 38-20 loss at Arizona State two weeks ago. They then had leading rusher, Zach Moss suffer a season-ending knee injury getting into bed. Note that Moss had already rushed for 1,092 yards and 11 touchdowns with 3 games to play.
I believe they were able to overcome those injuries against Oregon for a couple of reasons. One was they were playing at home and that’s especially easier on an inexperienced quarterback. The other is the Ducks haven’t been the same team since that loss to Washington State. they gave up 276 rushing yards in a 44-15 loss at Arizona and almost 500 yards of total offense the next week at home against UCLA.
I think a lot of people remember how good Oregon was and know they got an NFL talent at quarterback in Justin Herbert, but I wasn’t nearly that impressed with the win for Utah as others. Keep in mind they were losing in the 4th quarter.
Not only will the public talk themselves into believing everything is all right with the Utes despite the injuries, they aren’t going to want to bet on a Colorado team that’s lost 5 straight.
It certainly looks like the Buffaloes were manhandled in last week’s 31-7 loss to Washington State, but they were only down 10 going into the 4th quarter. Cougars also got something special going on with Gardner Minshew, who threw for 335 yards and 2 scores.
I feel pretty confident that Utah backup Jason Shelley won’t be putting up those kind of numbers on the road. I’m also banking on a max effort here from Colorado, as they not only try to avoid complete disaster and miss out on a bowl game, but they make sure the seniors go out in style in the final home game of the season.
I also think that Colorado offense could be poised for a bit of a breakout. They got back star wide out Laviska Shenault Jr. (missed previous 3 games) last week and while they only scored 7 points, he had 10 catches for 102 yards. Utah’s defense has been slipping of late, giving up 410.7 yards/game and 6 yards/play over their last 3. They are also given up 277 passing yards/game on the road this year.
I just think given the injuries for Utah this thing should be closer to a pick’em. Give me the Buffaloes +7!