The Indianapolis Colts (3-10) are set to host the Denver Broncos (4-9) on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:25 EST at Lucas Oil Stadium and will be televised nationally NBC.
Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as 2-point road favorite with the total set at 41 points. Check out our Week 15 odds page for a full betting schedule and for more links to our game previews.
Broncos vs Colts Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview
Denver snapped a 8-game losing streak with a 23-0 blowout win at home over the Jets on Sunday. The perception had gotten so bad with the Broncos that they were a 1.5-point home dog to New York. Not only was it Denver’s first win since Week 4 it was the first time they covered a spread since starting out 3-1.
Indianapolis comes in off a 7-13 overtime loss to the Bills in a game that was basically played in a blizzard. Needless to say offense was hard to come by. The Colts didn’t score a point until they found the end-zone with 1:16 left in the 4th quarter. A pass interference call on a 2-point attempt negated the likely win. Indy settled for the extra point and would lose on a 21-yard TD run by Buffalo’s LeSean McCoy with just 1:33 left in OT.
NFL Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 41
If I had to take a side here I would lean towards taking the points with the Colts at home, as Denver hasn’t won a road game all season. With that said, it’s hard to put a lot of trust into either side, as both of these teams have zero to play for in the final 3 weeks. However, I do see some value in the total, as I think the mark of 41 is way to low for two teams that are out of the playoff picture.
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I think we are simply seeing a bit of an overreaction to the low-scoring games these two teams just played in. Denver’s defense was sensational against the Jets. Not only did the shutout New York, the limited the Jets to just 100 total yards and 6 first downs. The Colts on the other hand played in a game against the Bills where the two teams combined for a mere 20-points with 6 of those coming in overtime.
Denver’s strong showing at home against the Jets didn’t surprise me. The Broncos had basically hit rock bottom the previous week in a 9-35 los at Miami. I expected them to come out and play one of their better games and they did just that. I just don’t think we are going to get that same kind of effort here on the road against the Colts. Not only is there little to get excited about with playing Indy, but it’s extremely difficult for teams to play up to their potential defensively in these Thursday night games. They simply don’t have enough time to recover with just a 3-day break.
Keep in mind that prior to last week’s shutout against the Jets, Denver’s opponents had scored 20 or more against them in 8 straight games. Not to mention the Broncos are giving up a staggering 30.5 ppg on the road this season. So while the Colts have been struggling to score, I think we see them have a decent showing here at home.
Same thing goes for the Denver offense, who should be able to build off last week’s strong showing against a wore down and not very good Colts defense. Indy is also a team that is completely out of the playoff picture and are going to try and get a lot more young guys on the field to evaluate for next year.
Let’s also not forget that this game is being played in perfect conditions with it being in a dome. That’s another big factor here that favors a high-scoring game. I just don’t think it’s asking a lot for these two teams to eclipse this number. Give me the OVER 41.