The Indianapolis Colts (8-6) host the New York Giants (5-9) this weekend in a late season inter-conference showdown.  Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on December 23rd at Lucas Oil Stadium and the game will be broadcast on CBS.

Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Colts listed as 10-point home favorites. That line shifted by a full point after early betting, as Indianapolis is currently available at -9.  The total for this matchup is 46.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 16 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.

Colts vs Giants Vegas Odds & Game Preview

New York dropped to 5-9 on the season last weekend after getting shutout 17-0 at home by Tennessee. The Giants couldn’t get anything going offensively against the Titans all game long, gaining just 276 total yards. They were especially ineffective on the ground, rushing for only 46 yards. RB Saquon Barkley had his worst game in quite some time, gaining just 31 yards on 14 carries (2.2 yards per carry). New York was also without the services of WR Odell Beckham Jr. in Week 15, as the star wideout was forced to miss another game due to a quad injury. He has already been ruled out for Sunday, so Evan Engram, Sterling Shepard, and Bennie Fowler will continue to see an increase in targets. QB Eli Manning will need to play much better than he did against the Titans last Sunday if the Giants hope to turn things around this weekend, as he went just 21 of 44 for 229 yards and no touchdowns. Overall, the offense is currently averaging 21.9 points per game (20th overall) on 347.4 total yards.

The Giants have been well below average on the other side of the ball through their first fourteen games, allowing opponents to score 24.9 points per game (22nd overall) on 365.8 yards of total offense. They have been especially bad against the run, surrendering an average of 128.4 yards per game on the ground (28th overall).

Indianapolis improved to 8-6 on the year last weekend after a very impressive 23-0 win over the red-hot Dallas Cowboys. The Colts were dominant on both sides of the ball, limiting Prescott and Co. to just 292 yards of total offense. They also managed to keep RB Ezekiel Elliott out of the end zone, something no team other than Philadelphia has done since early November. QB Andrew Luck didn’t have his best game, passing for just 192 yards and failing to throw a touchdown. The big story on offense was the resurgence of RB Marlon Mack, who racked up 139 yards and two touchdowns on 27 carries. WR T.Y. Hilton was questionable all weekend but managed to suit up, catching five passes for 85 yards. As a whole, Indianapolis is currently averaging 26.6 points per game (8th overall) on 381.5 total yards of offense.

The Colts have been above average defensively for most of the regular season, as they are currently giving up just 21.4 points per game (11th overall) on 341.5 total yards of offense. They have really done a nice job against the rush, limiting opponents to only 103.6 yards per game on the ground (8th overall).

Free NFL Betting Prediction: Indianapolis -9

The Giants recently announced that Odell Beckham Jr. would be held out of the lineup yet again on Sunday, which really limits their chances of successfully pulling off the upset in this particular spot. Indianapolis has been red-hot as of late, winning seven out of their last eight games. New York is currently in the basement of the NFC East and isn’t playing for anything but pride at this point in the season after a disappointing 5-9 performance through their first 14 games. 

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The Colts are a very impressive 4-1 ATS over their last five games in the month of December. They are also 32-14-1 ATS in their last 47 games against teams with a losing record. New York is only 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games on turf. They are also just 4-10-2 ATS over their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record.

Indianapolis have been extremely tough to beat at home so far this season, going 5-2 overall at Lucas Oil Stadium. It is also important to note that the Giants are only 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against the Colts. I fully expect that trend to continue here in Week 16, as Indy is still fighting for playoff positioning. I’m going to lay the 9 points and take a stab with the home favorite in this matchup.