This Sunday the Indianapolis Colts (3-5) will host the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-5). Kickoff for this AFC South matchup is set for 1:00 EST at Lucas Oil Stadium and will be televised locally on CBS.

Taking a look at the Week 10 NFL odds, the books have the Colts listed as a 3-point home favorite with the total sitting at 47 points.

Colts vs Jaguars Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview

Jacksonville will be returning from their bye looking to get back on track. After starting out 3-1 the Jaguars have lost 4 straight. The most recent a 24-18 defeat in London to the Eagles as a 3-point dog. Jacksonville has now failed to cover 4 straight and 5 of their last 6. The good news is while they are 2-games back of the Texans in the AFC South, there’s still plenty of time to close the gap.

It’s a similar story in Indianapolis, as the Colts also come into this game at 3-5 and returning from their bye. The big difference is Indy went into their bye week feeling good about themselves. The Colts have won two straight after enduring a 4-game losing streak of their own. The most recent being a 42-28 win at Oakland as a 3.5-point favorite.

This will be the first of two meetings between these two division rivals over the final 8 weeks, as they will meet again at Jacksonville in Week 13. Jaguars swept both meetings last year in convincing fashion. They won 27-0 at Indy and 30-10 at home.

Free NFL Pick & Betting Predictions: Jaguars +3

My early lean here would be to grab the points with Jacksonville. I think this is the ideal spot to jump on the Jaguars, who I think are going to come out of their bye and remind everyone just how talented this team is. All you see right now in the media is how big of a disappointment this team has been and the NFL just pulled a prime-time home game away from them (were suppose to host Steelers on Sunday Night Football in Week 11, but now it’s an early kickoff).

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There’s just some teams that I think play better in the role of the underdog and I fully expect this team to come out with a chip on their shoulder. I get the frustration some might have with starting quarterback Blake Bortles, but no one needed the bye more than him to reset and get back on track. I think he can do just that against a Colts defense that while improved is not all that great.

Indianapolis comes in ranked a mere 19th against the run (109.9 ypg) and 23rd against the pass (275.6 ypg). They same Raiders offense that managed just 3 points and 242 total yards against the 49ers on Thursday Night Football in Week 9, had 28 points by the end of the 3rd quarter just a few days prior against this Colts defense.

The biggest positive here for Bortles getting back on track is the return of running back Leonard Fournette, whose absence has certainly played a big role in the Jaguars struggles. He’s only played in two games (both wins) and last played in a 31-12 win against the Jets in Week 4. He practiced fully today, so should be good to go for this one.

I’m a big Andrew Luck fan and he’s never going to go down without a fight, but I just think he’s in for a long day against this Jaguars defense. When they are clicking this Jacksonville defense is as good as it gets in the NFL. As bad as things have been going, they still rank 2nd in the NFL, giving up just 313.3 ypg. They also own the league’s No. 1 ranked pass defense, allowing a mere 206.8 ypg. The Colts are running the ball better this year, but it’s no secret they need the passing game to be working for them to move the football.

I know Indy has the same record as the Jaguars, but their 3 wins are against the Redskins, Bills and Raiders. I guess the win over Washington looks okay because they lead a bad division, but at least with Jacksonville’s win over the Patriots and last year’s success we know how good this team can be when they get it going.

If that team shows up this thing will turn into a blowout, but with that said, I still think they win and cover without playing their best. That’s how big a gap I think there is between these two teams. Give me Jaguars +3.