The Baltimore Ravens will look to keep pace in the crowded AFC wild-card race when they host the Indianapolis Colts in Week 16. Kickoff is set for 4:30 EST on Saturday, December 23 at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The game will be broadcast on the NFL Network.
Oddsmakers view the Ravens as 13.5-point favorites over the Colts. The over/under is set at 41.5 points. Click here for a full list of the Week 16 betting odds and links to more game previews.
Colts vs Ravens Game Preview & Betting Odds
At 8-6, the Ravens find themselves in a crowded race for the two wild-card spots in the AFC. Baltimore has the same record as Tennessee and Buffalo, but they are currently on the wrong side of the tie-breaker with those teams. If the season ended today, they would be out of the playoffs.
The good news for the Ravens is that they are playing some of their best football over the past month. Baltimore has won four of their last five games, including last week’s win over the Browns. The Ravens also have two teams with a losing left on their schedule, so that is also working to their advantage.
First up on Baltimore’s schedule will be the 3-11 Colts. Indy has lost their last five games, so they have nothing left to play for this season. However, they’ve definitely made an honest effort the past few weeks. They’re likely to embrace the role of spoiler this week against a team that’s fighting for a playoff spot.
Free NFL Pick Against the Spread: Colts +13.5
I like how the Ravens have played recently, but not enough to swallow nearly two touchdowns. To be fair, Baltimore has had plenty of blow out wins this year. But I expect the Colts to put up a good fight and keep the scoreline respectable. The Ravens should win but they won’t cover.
Even though the Colts have lost eight of their last nine games, they’ve rarely been out of contention late in games. Half of those eight losses have come by six points or less, and two of them have been by a single point. Even games against teams in the playoff hunt like the Steelers, Titans, and Bills have been close, so I expect Indy to continue that trend against the Ravens.
Click on the link for more free NFL betting predictions from our experts on staff.
Despite poor numbers on the season, the Indianapolis defense has proven capable of slowing down the run. To be fair, they’ve been gashed the past couple of weeks. However, even during their current losing streak, quality running teams like the Steelers, Titans, and Jaguars have all been held to less than 100 yards rushing.
If the Colts can slow down the Baltimore running game just a little, they should be in a position to keep this game competitive. The Ravens are not exactly explosive offensively. Alex Collins was held in check last week against the Browns. Also, I’m still not comfortable thinking that Joe Flacco is capable of carrying the Baltimore offense week after week. He’s solid but unspectacular most weeks, and so a little resistance from the Indy defense should be enough to keep this game from becoming a runaway in Baltimore’s favor.
The Ravens have been led more by their defense than their offense in recent weeks. Last week against the Browns, they benefited from forcing four turnovers and 10 sacks. They’re unlikely to replicate that against the Colts this week. Without such domination on defense, I’m not sure they can build and maintain a two-touchdown lead.
Obviously, the Colts winning would be a surprise. But I won’t be that surprised to see a competitive game. Baltimore’s not an elite team while Indy shows no signs of rolling over despite being 3-11. The Ravens will win, but I can’t buy them covering a 13.5-point spread.