This Sunday the Indianapolis Colts (7-6) will host the Dallas Cowboys (8-5) in a critical game for both teams. Kickoff for this non-conference matchup is set for 1:00 EST at Lucas Oil Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX.

Oddsmakers currently have the Colts listed at either -3 or -2.5 (heavy juice) depending on where you shop. The total for this contest is currently 47 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 15 betting odds and for more links to our game previews.

Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview: Cowboys vs Colts

Dallas comes into this one off a thrilling 29-23 overtime win at home against the Eagles, covering as a slim 3-point favorite. That’s now 5 straight wins and covers for the Cowboys. Dallas has went from a complete non-factor to holding a commanding 2-game lead with 3 to play.

Indianapolis enters off what may have been a season-saving win, as the Colts went on the road and beat Houston 24-21, snapping the Texans 9-game winning streak. Much like Dallas, Indy wasn’t on anyone’s radar after a 1-5 start, but a 6-1 stretch has them right in the thick of things for a playoff spot in the AFC.

Free NFL Pick & Betting Predictions: Colts -2.5

My early lean here would be to lay the short number with Indianapolis at home. I just think this is the right spot to play against the Cowboys, as I not only think they are getting way too much respect here on the road against a red-hot Colts team, but I also feel like this is a big time letdown spot for Dallas.

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With that win over the Eagles the Cowboys all but locked up the NFC East. They not only have a 2-game lead over both the Eagles and Redskins, but they will also hold the tie breaker against both teams, meaning the only way Dallas doesn’t win the division is if they lose out and either Washington or Philadelphia win their final 3 games. I think it’s pretty safe to say the Redskins won’t be going 3-0 over the final 3 weeks with all the injuries they have been dealt and the Eagles are likely to lose at the Rams on Sunday Night Football. I actually think there’s a really good chance that the Cowboys lose this game and still end up waking up Monday as the NFC East winners.

There’s zero doubt in my mind that Dallas hasn’t played these scenarios out in their head, which is why I think it will be so difficult for them to show up here with the kind of mindset it will take to beat a team that’s playing as well as the Colts.

It’s also worth pointing out that Ezekiel Elliott is banged up and while he’s expected to play, I got a good feeling the Cowboys are going to limit his touches after he had 40 last week against the Eagles. Not to mention the Dallas offensive line could be without stud right guard Zack Martin, who is dealing with a knee injury.

The Colts don’t have the luxury of taking this game or any of their final 3 off. It’s unlikely Indianapolis will be able to catch the Texans in the AFC South and one of the Wild Card spots is going to either the Chiefs or Chargers, which means there’s only one spot up for grabs.

This has also historically been a great time to back the Colts, as they are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 home games off an upset win as a road dog. It’s also worth pointing out that Dallas is just 2-4 on the road compared to 6-1 at home. Cowboys are also a mere 3-11 ATS under head coach Jason Garrett when they come into a game having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7. Give me the Colts -2.5!