The New York Giants travel to Texas in Week 1 of the 2019-20 NFL season for an NFC East showdown against the Dallas Cowboys. Kickoff is set for 4:25 PM EST on September 8th at AT&T Stadium and the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Cowboys listed as 7-point home favorites. That line has yet to change after early betting, as Dallas is currently available at -7. The total for this matchup is 45.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 1 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Cowboys vs Giants Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Cowboys are looking to take another step forward in 2019 after going 10-6 overall and winning the NFC East in 2018. Dallas then slipped past the Seahawks 24-22 in the Wild Card Round before coming up short against the Rams in the divisional playoff. RB Ezekiel Elliot is back after a highly-publicized holdout that ended less than a week before the Cowboys season was scheduled to begin. He is clearly the most important part of an offense that averaged just 21.4 points per game last season (21st overall). However, Dallas was highly effective on the ground, racking up 120.9 rushing yards per game (10th overall). QB Dak Prescott continues to have his share of skeptics after another up and down season, as the Cowboys managed to average only 222.9 yards per game through the air (22nd overall). WR Amari Cooper is also back, which at least gives the offense a legitimate number one receiver for Prescott to look for downfield.
It was a much more consistent year for the Dallas defense in 2018, limiting opponents to just 20.9 points per game (7th overall). The Cowboys were a Top-15 team in pretty much every major defensive category, including ranking 8th and 11th overall against the rush and the pass respectively.
New York Giants
The Giants are likely in for another long year in 2019 after going just 5-11 overall and finishing dead least in the NFC East last season. New York also had major changes on offense over the summer, as flamboyant WR Odell Beckham Jr. was traded to Cleveland with Olivier Vernon for Jabrill Peppers, Kevin Zeitler, and two high draft picks. They also drafted former Duke quarterback Daniel Jones in the first round, although veteran Eli Manning appears to still be the Giants starter for at least the first half of the season. The loss of Beckham Jr. opens up a pretty big void on the receiving depth chart, as Sterling Shepard now tops the list for a passing offense that averaged 252.9 yards per game through the air last season (12th overall). Much like Dallas, the Giants offense will likely flow through their #1 running back yet again after Saquon Barkley exploded for over 1,300 yards and 11 touchdowns in his rookie year.
The New York defense was well below average in 2018, allowing opponents to average 25.8 points per game (23rd overall). The Giants were especially poor against the pass, surrendering almost 250 yards per game through the air (22nd overall).
Free NFL Betting Predictions and ATS Pick: Cowboys -7
With Zeke back in the fold and expected to get at least 20-25 touches right out of the gate, I think Dallas offers the best value against the spread here in Week 1. While Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard should give Eli some decent support in the receiving game in the absence of Beckham Jr., the Cowboys should still be able to direct most of their defensive focus towards shutting down Barkley. While Odell certainly caused some ill-timed distractions off the field, his presence was invaluable in creating extra space for Saquon to break plays once he got through the first wave of defenders. As things sit now, the Giants no longer have the depth on offense to hide how weak Eli has become at throwing the ball more than 15-20 yards downfield. If Dallas can hold Barkley to around 100 total yards and one touchdown, they should be able to find a way to cover the spread at home on Sunday.
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It is also important to remember how well Dallas has performed against the spread over the last three meetings between these two longtime NFC East rivals. The Cowboys are a perfect 3-0 ATS when facing the Giants dating back to 2017. They also seem to really bring their A-game when playing a divisional rival, going 8-1 ATS in their last nine against NFC East teams. While I probably wouldn’t touch this game if the spread bumps up to 7.5 or higher, Dallas should be a good bet to win their home opener by at least a touchdown. Give me the Cowboys!