The Los Angeles Rams (13-3) are set to host the Callas Cowboys (10-6) in Saturday’s Divisional Round double-header. Kickoff is set for 8:15 EST at LA Memorial Coliseum and will be televised nationally on FOX.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rams listed as a 7-point home favorite with the total set for 49 points.
Rams vs Cowboys Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds
Dallas comes in off a hard fought 24-22 win at home over the Seattle Seahawks. The Cowboys turned a 14-10 4th quarter deficit into a 24-14 lead and did just enough to hold on for the victory. Dallas got a big game from both running back Ezekiel Elliott (137 yards, 1 TD) and wide out Amari Cooper (7 catches, 106 yards). Cowboys are now 8-2 since they made the trade for Cooper midseason.
The Rams were the talk of the NFL during their perfect 8-0 start to the season, but expectations with this team cooled off with a lackluster finish, including a 15-6 loss at Chicago and a 30-23 defeat at home to the Eagles. LA did win their final two games to lock up the No. 2 seed in the NFC, which awarded them a bye and at least home field for this matchup.
These two teams last met in Week 4 of last season. The Rams won that matchup 35-30 at Dallas as a 5-point underdog.
NFL Free Betting Prediction & Pick Against the Spread: Cowboys +7
My early lean here would be to grab the points with Dallas. I just think that it’s asking a lot for Los Angeles to win here by more than a touchdown with how well the Cowboys are playing.
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One of the more impressive things with Dallas’ win over Seattle is how that defense shut down the Seahawks league-leading rushing attack. Seattle managed just 73 yards on 24 attempts (3.0 yards/carry). All 3 of the Rams losses this season came in games where they failed to reach 100 yards rushing. I’m not saying is going to lose, I just think without the ground game working at full force, it will be hard for them to turn this into a blowout.
The other huge thing regarding the Cowboys and their ability to stop the run, is the fact that Todd Gurley had to sit out the last two games due to knee swelling up. It’s going to be pushing a month since he last played and while I expect him to be out there, it’s reasonable to think he won’t be at 100%.
I also think you have to look at how the Bears defense was able to take away Gurley and force Goff to beat them. He failed miserably, completing 20 of 44 attempts for just 180 yards with 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. I’m not saying Dallas’ defense is on the same level as the Bears, but we did see the Cowboys hold Drew Brees and the Saints high-powered offense to just 10 points in the 2nd half of the season.
This play isn’t all about the Dallas defense, I think this is also a great matchup for the Cowboys offense. It’s not secret that Dallas is at its best when they can establish the run game. They definitely got the talent at running back to do that with Ezekiel Elliot, but more than anything, they are facing a Rams defense that ranked dead last in the NFL, giving up 5.1 yards/carry against the run. Give me the Cowboys +7!