This Sunday the Washington Redskins (3-2) will host the Dallas Cowboys (3-3). This NFC East showdown is set for 4:25 EST at FedEx Field and will be televised locally on CBS.

Taking a look at the Week 7 NFL odds, the books have Washington listed as a slim 2-point home favorite with the total set at 41.5 points.

Redskins vs Cowboys Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview

Dallas comes into this game off an impressive 40-7 thrashing of the Jaguars as a 3-point home dog. It was complete domination by the Cowboys, who led 24-0 at the half and outgained Jacksonville 378 to 204. Ezekiel Elliot rushed for 106 yards and a score, while Dak Prescott threw for 2 touchdowns and rushed for 82 yards and another score. It was easily the best showing by Dallas this season.

Washington also comes in off an outright win as a home dog, as the Redskins defeated the Panthers 23-17 as a 1-point underdog this past Sunday. It ended up being a lot closer than Washington would have liked, as they jumped out to a 17-0 lead, but could only manage two field goals over the final 35 minutes of play. Adrian Peterson had a big day on the ground with 97 yards on just 17 carries and Alex Smith threw for two scores, despite only throwing for 163 yards on the game.

This has been a lopsided series of late, as the Cowboys have won 4 straight  and 8 of the last 10. They dominated both meetings last year, winning 33-19 at Washington and 38-14 at home.

NFL Betting Predictions & Free Pick: UNDER 41.5

If I had to take a side, I would roll the dice with the Redskins laying less than a field goal at home, as I think Dallas is getting a little too much love here off that blowout win against the Jaguars. However, I think the better play in this matchup is the UNDER 41.5, as I just think we have to limited offenses going up against two really good defenses.

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I know the Cowboys just put up 40 points on what many feel is one of the best defenses in the NFL, but Jacksonville was a bit banged up defensively and it really did nothing to change my perception of this Dallas offense. Almost all of the damage came via the running game, as Prescott was just 17 of 27 for 183 yards. The Cowboys are simply one-dimensional and when they struggle to get the running game points are going to be very hard to come by.

Washington has been outstanding against the run this season. The Redskins rank 6th in the NFL, giving up just 90.2 ypg and the most they have allowed in any single game is 104 yards, so they have been very consistent at shutting down the opposing teams running attack. The only team to score more than 21 points against Washington is the Saints, who absolutely torched them through the air. That’s not a concern with Prescott and the Cowboys 29th ranked passing attack, which has topped 200 yards passing just once all season.

It’s a very similar story with Washington’s offense, which has really struggled to get into any kind of rhythm with Alex Smith at quarterback. It’s not that Smith has played bad, he’s just limited with what he can do. The biggest difference between Smith with the Redskins and Smith with the Chiefs, is he doesn’t have the brilliant Andy Reid calling the plays. Washington is 25th in the NFL in total offense (344 ypg) and 24th in scoring (21.2 ppg).

I have hard time seeing them figuring things out against a Dallas defense that is playing lights out to start the 2018 season. The Cowboys come in 7th in the NFL against the run (90.7 ypg) and 8th against the pass (224.5 ypg). They are also 2nd in the NFL in scoring defense, giving up just 17.2 ppg.

Add in this being a division matchup, where there’s a lot of familiarity between both teams and the winner of this one guaranteed to be in at least a share of 1st place in the NFC East after Sunday, I don’t see this one getting to 40 points. Give me the UNDER 41.5!