The Cincinnati Bengals (1-13) travel to Florida this weekend for an all-AFC clash with the Miami Dolphins (3-11). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on December 22nd at Hard Rock Stadium and the game will be televised on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Dolphins listed as 1-point home favorites. The spread has shifted by two full points after early betting, as Miami is currently available at +1. The total for this matchup is 46 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 16 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Dolphins vs Bengals Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Bengals have now lost two consecutive games after falling 34-13 at home against New England last weekend to drop to just 1-13 on the season overall. Cincinnati jumped out to an early 10-7 lead in the first quarter but it was all downhill from there, as they got outscored 27-3 by the Patriots over the final 45 minutes of the game. QB Andy Dalton really struggled, throwing four interceptions and going just 17/31 for 151 passing yards and a single touchdown. RB Joe Mixon was a workhorse on the ground, rumbling for 136 rushing yards on a game-high 25 carries. TE Tyler Eifert also chipped in, making three catches for 44 receiving yards. As a whole, the Bengals generated over 300 total yards of offense but only found the end zone once against one of the NFL’s top defenses.
Cincinnati wasn’t that great defensively against the Patriots, giving up just over 300 total yards of offense and three touchdowns. However, the Bengals did do a pretty good job shutting down New England QB Tom Brady, holding him to only 128 passing yards and a 52% completion rate.
The Dolphins couldn’t find a way to get past the New York Giants last weekend, losing 36-20 on the road to drop to 3-11 overall. Miami led 10-7 at the half but couldn’t find a way to hold on down the stretch, getting outscored 29-10 over the final two quarters of the game. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick went 23/41 for 279 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air while RB Patrick Laird led the way on the ground with 46 rushing yards on a team-high 12 carries. WR DeVante Parker torched the Giants secondary, racking up 72 receiving yards and two touchdowns on four catches. Overall, the Dolphins gained just over 400 total yards of offense and scored two touchdowns despite coming up well short on the scoreboard.
Miami had a tough outing on the other side of the ball against the Giants, surrendering well over 400 total yards of offense and five touchdowns. The Dolphins had no answer for New York RB Saquon Barkley, allowing him to rush for 112 yards and two touchdowns.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and Pick: Dolphins +1
A case could easily be made for avoiding this all-AFC matchup altogether, as both the spread and the total look extremely efficient. If forced to pick a side against the spread, I’m probably leaning just slightly towards taking the free point and rolling with the Dolphins at home. While I really don’t see a ton of value in this spot, the fact that Bengals RB Joe Mixon popped up on the injury report on Thursday doesn’t bode all that well for Cincinnati heading into the weekend. With Mixon currently listed as questionable, the Bengals could be extremely short-handed on Sunday afternoon despite the cupcake matchup against one of the worst defenses in the entire NFL.
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It is also important to note that Miami has dominated the Bengals against the spread over the past decade or so, covering the number in nine out of their last thirteen battles overall. Cincinnati is also an embarrassing 1-15 outright over their last sixteen games overall and just 1-7 straight up in their last eight trips to Hard Rock Stadium. On the other side, the Dolphins are a very respectable 7-3 against the spread over their last ten games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with opponents from the AFC. I’ll take the single point and roll the dice with the home underdog in a game that could easily go either way – give me Miami to cover.