This Sunday the Miami Dolphins (3-2) will host the New York Jets (3-3) in a key AFC East matchup. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at Hard Rock Stadium and will be televised locally on CBS.
Oddsmakers currently have the the Dolphins listed as a 3-point home favorite with the total set at 38 points. Click here for a full look at our Week 7 NFL betting schedule, plus links to our game previews.
Jets vs Dolphins Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds
New York comes into this one off a 17-24 home loss to hated rival New England, but were able to cover as a 9-point underdog. While it snapped the Jets 3-game winning streak, they have now covered the spread in each of their last 4 games.
Miami didn’t just cover as a big dog in Week 6, the Dolphins won outright 20-17 at Atlanta as a 14-point dog. For as bad as this team looked during a 1-2 start, they are now 3-2 and right in the thick of things in the AFC East.
This is an early season division rematch game, as these two teams just played in Week 3. The Jets won that contest 20-6 as a 5.5-point home dog. Miami had just 225 yards of total offense and 80 of that came on the final drive of the game, where they scored their only points on a 3-yard TD pass as time expired.
NFL Betting Predictions & Free ATS Pick: Dolphins -3
I would have to lean towards backing the Dolphins laying just a field goal at home against the Jets. It’s not easy to beat the same team in your division twice in the same year. So while the Jets won by 14 at home over Miami in Week 3, I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised to see this turn into a blowout the other way.
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I’m still not buying into the Jets being as good as their 3-3 record would indicate. Outside of their win over the Dolphins at home, they beat the Browns on the road and snuck out an overtime win against the Jaguars at home. Sure they played New England tough, but that was at home. Outside of 3-point win at Cleveland, the road hasn’t been kind to New York, which lost by 9 at Buffalo in Week 1 and by 25 at Oakland in Week 2. Adding to this, is the fact that the Jets are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 0-5 in their last 5 vs a team with a winning home record.
I also think this is a big letdown spot for the Jets. They put everything they had into beating New England, who they despise. A loss that has to be tough to swallow given they were up 14-0, outgained the Patriots 408-375 and turned it over 3 times. Those are the kind of defeats that can be difficult to bounce back from, especially when going up against a team they beat without much problem just a few weeks ago.
The Miami offense hasn’t been very good to start the season, but that was to be expected after they just picked Jay Cutler up off the straight and made him their starter in the middle of training camp. I think they may have found something in the 2nd half of last week’s game against the Falcons, where they scored on all 4 possessions to overcome a 17-point halftime deficit. They should come out with a ton of confidence on that side of the ball this week.
The Jets are a miserable 0-6 ATS under head coach Todd Bowles in road games after playing their previous game against a division opponent and have lost these games by an average of 15.3 points. On the flip side of this, the Dolphins are a strong 18-7 ATS in their last 25 when revenging a road loss by 14 or more points.