The Detroit Lions (2-3) travel to South Beach this weekend to take on the Miami Dolphins (4-2). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on October 21st at Hard Rock Stadium. The game will be televised on FOX.

Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Lions listed as 3-point road favorites. That line has remained unchanged changed after early betting, as Detroit is currently available at -3. The total for this matchup is 46.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 7 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.

Dolphins vs Lions Vegas Odds & Game Preview

Detroit had the week off last Sunday, so they should be extremely well rested and eager to get back to .500 on the season after a rough start. The Lions appear to be slowly turning things around, as they have now won two out of their last three games. QB Matt Stafford has thrown for 1,385 yards and 10 touchdowns in his first five games, a solid start despite appearing to injure his knee back in Week 1. Stafford has had a ton of help from the triple receiving threat of Golden Tate, Kenny Golladay, and Marvin Jones Jr. who have combined for over 1,000 yards through the air already. Golladay and Tate are also both currently in the Top 10 receivers league-wide in terms of total yardage. As a whole, Detroit is currently averaging 25.0 points per game on offense (14th) on 365.2 total  yards. They have certainly been above average moving the ball through the air, as they are averaging 268.0 passing yards per game (14th).

Things haven’t really gone all that well on the other side of the ball, as the Lions are currently giving up 27.4 points per game on 367.8 total yards. Detroit has really struggled against the rush, surrendering an average of 145.8 yards per game on the ground (30th overall).

Miami pulled off a huge comeback last weekend, scoring 18 points in the second half to overcome a double-digit halftime deficit against the Chicago Bears. It was a massive victory for the Dolphins, as they improved to 4-2 on the season while scoring 30+ points on one of the top defenses in the NFL. Backup QB Brock Osweiler was fantastic in his first start of the year, throwing for 380 yards and three touchdowns. Usual starter Ryan Tannehill has been ruled out for at least several weeks with a shoulder injury, so Osweiler has a chance to revive his career with a strong showing during his second stint as a starter.

The Dolphins have been somewhat average defense so far this year, as they are currently giving up an average of 24.7 points per game (17th overall) on 396.7 total yards per game. Miami has really struggled against the pass, however, as opponents are currently averaging 278.5 yards per game through the air (24th overall).

Free NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit -3

I’ve been burned by doubting the Dolphins several time so far this season, including last weekend when I thought Chicago was an absolute lock against Osweiler and Co. However, I still don’t have enough trust in the Dolphins offensively to keep pace with a high-flying Detroit offense that has been able to move the ball with ease through the air. Miami is also just 2-5-1 ATS over their last eight games against teams with a winning record. The Lions will be desperate to get back to .500 and stay in the hunt for the NFC North title with three other teams that are all currently 3-2 on the year.¬†

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Detroit is a very solid 4-0 ATS over their last four games. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a bye week and 4-1 ATS over their past five road games against teams with a winning home record. The Dolphins have been very solid at home as of late but they are only 17-45-3 ATS over their last 65 games at Hard Rock Stadium against teams with losing road records.

The Lions are in desperate need of a victory this week – they should have a ton of confidence after knocking off Green Bay and New England in the weeks leading up to their bye. Detroit easily could have won three games in a row if they hadn’t lost to Dallas by two points back in Week 4 to drop to 1-3. I need to see at least a couple more starts from Osweiler before I’m ready to put my hard earned money behind Miami. For now I’ll lay the three points and roll with the road favorite.