The Seattle Seahawks are set to host the Miami Dolphins in Week 1 of NFL action. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 EST at CenturyLink Field and will be televised locally on CBS. Oddsmakers have Seattle listed as a  10.5-point favorite with the total set at 44 points. Click here for more Week 1 betting odds and game previews.

Dolphins vs Seahawks Vegas Odds Preview

Seattle’s quest at getting back to a third straight Super Bowl came up short. The Seahawks got off to a slow start, but recovered to go 10-6 and get into the playoffs. They knocked off the Vikings on Wild Card weekend, but came up short at Carolina the following week. The core remains intact and Seattle looks like a legit Super Bowl contender once again.

The Dolphins had high expectations going into the 2015 season, but failed to deliver on the hype. Miami finished last in the AFC East at 6-10 and sent Joe Philbin packing. In comes Adam Gase to try and get this team over the hump. It all comes down to the impact he has on quarterback Ryan Tannehill. If he takes the next step, this team could surprise in 2016.

Free Point Spread Pick & Game Predictions: Seahawks -10.5

Laying this many points isn’t a wise move long-term, but I have to lean that way in this game. Seattle has a massive home field advantage and this is a long way for Miami to travel.

Click on the link for more free football picks for Week 1 NFL games.

Last year’s slow start really set the Seahawks back and kept them from winning the NFC West. You can bet starting strong has been a point of emphasis. I think Seattle comes out with a chip on their shoulder and this one could get ugly in a hurry.

There’s no denying that the Seahawks are the more talented team in this matchup. It’s even more lopsided when you factor in the injuries Miami is dealing with. Starting LB Jelani Jenkins is doubtful, as is starting center Mike Pouncy. Star pass rusher, Cameron Wake is also questionable.

I also don’t love the matchup for Miami in this game. The Dolphins didn’t resign Lamar Miller and figure to a pass-first team. Throwing the ball a lot is not how you attack this Seahawks defense. I think turnovers and the inability to find the endzone will plague Miami in this game.

At the same time, the Seahawks have a better offense than people realize. When this team shifted to a quick passing attack late last year, the offense took off. Seattle put up 32.0 ppg over their last 8 regular season games last year. I see no reason they don’t come close to that mark against this Miami defense.

It’s also worth noting how well the Seahawks have done at home against AFC opponents. Seattle is 30-15 in their last 45 non-conference home games.  It’s also been a bad idea going against Seattle at home early in the season under Pete Carroll. Since he came to town, the Seahawks are a perfect 10-0 ATS at home in the month of September. They have won these 10 home games by an average score of 27.4 to 11.1 (+16.3 ppg).