The #15 overall Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-2) travel to Durham, North Carolina this weekend for a Saturday evening showdown with the Duke Blue Devils (4-4). Kickoff is set for 7:30 PM EST on November 9th at Wallace Wade Stadium and the game will be televised on the ACC Network.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Notre Dame opened as a 8-point road favorite earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Fighting Irish are currently available at -8. The total for the game is sitting at 51.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Duke vs Notre Dame
Notre Dame has now won four out of their last five games after barely scraping by Virginia Tech at home last weekend. The Fighting Irish needed a touchdown in the fourth quarter to escape with a narrow 21-20 victory and improve to 6-2 on the season overall. QB Ian Book went 29/53 for 336 passing yards and two touchdowns but also got picked off twice. Book did have a solid game on the ground, rushing for 50 yards and a touchdown on a team-high 13 carries. Chase Claypool led the way for the receiving corps, making eight receptions for 118 yards. As a whole, the offense generated well over 400 total yards and scored three touchdowns in the win.
The Fighting Irish had an up and down outing on the other side of the ball against Virginia Tech, surrendering two touchdowns in the first half before giving up just two field goals over the final 30 minutes of the game. Notre Dame was especially solid defending against the run, allowing only 96 net rushing yards on the ground.
Duke couldn’t find a way to get past rival UNC their last time out, falling 20-17 on the road to drop back to .500 on the season overall. The Blue Devils battled hard all game, scoring two touchdowns in the third quarter to get back to level before giving up a late field goal that proved to be the difference. QB Quentin Harris went 22/39 for 229 passing yards and a touchdown while RB Deon Jackson rumbled for 91 rushing yards on a team-high 19 carries. Scott Bracey was on the receiving end of the only passing touchdown for the offense, finding the end zone on one of his five catches for 62 yards. Overall, Duke gained just under 350 total yards of offense and scored two touchdowns in the loss.
The Blue Devils were fairly solid defensively against North Carolina, giving up just two touchdowns despite allowing more than 400 total yards of offense. However, Duke really struggled to slow down Tar Heels WR Dazz Newsome, as he racked up 103 receiving yards and a touchdown on just four catches.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 51.5
While I am also leaning slightly towards laying the eight points and rolling with the road favorites, I am a bit concerned about the fact that Notre Dame has failed to cover the number in two out of their last three road games. They also have been involved in plenty of close games so far this season, beating Virginia Tech by just a single point and needing a late field goal to triumph over the USC Trojans. Duke also absolutely crushed the Hokies when they met back in late September, winning by five touchdowns. Still, I’d still rather take a shot with the Fighting Irish than back a Blue Devils defense that gave up 40+ to both Virginia and Alabama. However, my favorite play in this particular spot is likely the OVER on 51.5 total points scored. The total has gone OVER 62 points in three out of the last four games that Duke has played overall. Notre Dame has also been involved in plenty of high scoring games so far this year, scoring at least 30 points five times already.
Click on the link for more free college football picks from our experts on staff.
It can be tough to find any meaningful trends between these two schools, as they hardly ever meet. However, when they met in South Bend three years ago, the offenses exploded for a combined 73 points. Even though I’m certainly not expecting quite that many fireworks, I still do think both teams should find enough success to push the total OVER 51.5 total points. The Blue Devils have also been involved in plenty of high scoring games at home recently as well, as the total has gone OVER in three straight outings at Wallace Wade Stadium. The OVER has also come through in six out of Duke’s last seven games overall. Despite not minding Notre Dame against the spread, I’d much rather take a shot with the OVER on 51.5 total points scored instead.