A matchup of teams looking to get back to the .500 mark takes place in South Bend this weekend. The Duke Blue Devils travel to face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish Saturday afternoon. The game kicks off from Notre Dame Stadium in Notre Dame, Indiana at 3:30 pm ET. The game is nationally televised on NBC. The week 4 odds show Notre Dame as a 20.5 point favorite in this contest with the over/under set at 60.5 points.
Duke vs. Notre Dame Vegas Betting Preview
Duke had a disappointing performance in a 24-13 loss on the road to previously winless Northwestern last week. Notre Dame fell behind big and their late rally fell short in a 36-28 loss to #12 Michigan State at home last week. This marks the fifth all-time meeting between the programs. Notre Dame has a 3-1 advantage in the series and won the last two. That includes a 28-7 victory in South Bend back in 2007 in the last meeting. Duke’s last win in the series came with a 37-13 triumph back in 1961.
Free Pick and Betting Spread Prediction: Notre Dame -20.5
Duke continued to move the ball with relative success. That was the good news from last week. The bad news was they turned the ball over two more times. Defensively, the Blue Devils made Northwestern look prolific offensively as the Wildcats had 406 total yards. Duke tied the game at seven in the second quarter on a 12 play, 99 yard drive. The Blue Devils then allowed 17 unanswered points, including a pair of long passing scores from struggling quarterback Clayton Thorson. Duke finally got on the board in the last minute of the game but it was too little, too late.
The Blue Devils are averaging 279.3 yards (30th in FBS) through the air and 154 yards (87th) on the ground this season. Duke is scoring 25.3 points (tied for 96th) and is allowing 18 points (tied for 33rd) per contest. Daniel Jones has completed 68 of 111 passes for 800 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. He has 81 rushing yards and three scores. Parker Boehme is 6 of 8 for 38 yards and a score while adding 64 rushing yards and a touchdown. Jela Duncan leads the Blue Devils with 35 carries for 193 yards and three scores. Duke averages 3.7 yards per carry so far this season. Johnathan Lloyd (11 receptions, 157 yards, TD) and T.J. Rahming (team high 18 receptions, 151 yards) are reliable targets for Jones. Anthony Nash adds 13 catches for a team high 177 yards.
Notre Dame held a 7-0 edge after the first quarter against Michigan State before things went sour. The Fighting Irish gave up 36 unanswered points in the second and third quarters. Notre Dame battled back with three touchdowns to make it a one score game but drew no closer. The Fighting Irish went three and out on their last possession. The gassed defense failed to slow the Spartans, who ran the last 3:30 off the clock. Notre Dame was outgained 501-401 and lost the time of possession battle 37:57 to 22:03. The Fighting Irish committed three turnovers while forcing only one in the contest.
Offense is not the issue for Notre Dame: they average 38 points and 429.6 yards of offense per contest. The defense needs to play as it did against the Wolf Pack instead of the way it failed to show up against the Longhorns and Spartans. DeShone Kizer, who won the starting job after his performance against Texas, is 50 of 79 for 715 yards with nine touchdowns and two interceptions. He has 126 rushing yards and four scores. Josh Adams (33 carries, 178 yards) and Tarean Folston (32 carries, 129 yards, TD) form a solid 1-2 ground combination. Equanimeous St. Brown (team high 15 catches, team high 243 yards, 3 TD) and C.J. Sanders (10 catches, 154 yards, 2 TD) are the top receivers. The team also has Torii Hunter Jr. (nine catches, 132 yards, TD) back after he missed the Nevada game with a concussion.
This one is a matchup of a couple teams looking to even their record. Duke played terrible football against Northwestern last week. When you make a team that was averaging less than 300 yards a game pick up 406 yards, there’s a problem. Duke continues to turn the ball over, which is taxing the defense. Notre Dame has solid offensive weapons to call on. The Fighting Irish is playing at home, where they were solid against Nevada. Look for Notre Dame to win this one in one-sided fashion. For more week 4 picks, check here!
Notre Dame is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Duke is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.