This Sunday the New Orleans Saints (8-1) will host the Philadelphia Eagles (4-5). Kickoff for this NFC clash is set for 4:25 EST at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome and will be televised locally on FOX.
Taking a look at the Week 11 NFL odds, the books opened this up at New Orleans -7.5, but the Saints are as big as a 9-point favorite at some places. The total for this matchup is currently 56 points.
Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview: Eagles vs Saints
Philadelphia comes in off a surprising 27-20 home loss to division rival Dallas as a 7.5-point favorite. The Eagles trailed 13-3 at the half, but were able to claw back to 13-13 going into the 4th and were tied 20-20 with less than 5 minutes to play. The defending Super Bowl champs are now sitting at 4-5 and less and less are believing they will turn this thing around. Books have certainly enjoyed it, as Philadelphia is a mere 3-6 ATS.
While the Eagles can’t regain their form, the Saints can’t seem to lose. In what many thought would be a trap game off the big win over the Rams, New Orleans went into Cincinnati and laid it on the Bengals 51-14. The Saints have now won 8 straight since that Week 1 loss to the Bucs at home and have covered the number in each of their last 7 games.
These two teams haven’t played since 2015, which was before the Eagles hired head coach Doug Pederson and drafted quarterback Carson Wentz.
Free NFL Betting Pick & Game Predictions: Eagles +9
My early lean here would have to be to take the points with Philadelphia in this one. I just think we are seeing a bit of an overreaction on both sides. I think a lot of those people that backing the Eagles and believed they would turn this thing around, gave up after the ugly home loss to Dallas. On the flip side, the perception on the Saints couldn’t be higher. In game where they were suppose to struggle, they won by 37 on the road. Not to mention the fact that they have covered 7 straight. Those that have been riding New Orleans and there’s a lot of them, won’t be jumping off the bandwagon.
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I think it forced the books to set a very favorable line for the Eagles. I’m not saying Philadelphia will win this game, but it’s hard to not like them to at least make it competitive and keep it within a touchdown. Keep in mind we are talking about an Eagles team that hasn’t lost by more than a touchdown all season. A lot of people ignore how close this team is to being right there with the other top teams in the NFC.
Another crazy thing with this team is this marks the first time this season that they will be an underdog at kickoff. If you remember back to last year, it was the underdog role that brought this team together, as everyone wrote them off after the Wentz injury. I mean this is it for the Eagles. They lose this game and fall to 4-6, they would basically have to win out to have a shot and they know it. I know everyone to this point has been jacked up to face defending champs, but at some point the Saints are going to lay an egg and this might just be that spot.
New Orleans head coach Sean Payton has guided his team to a mere 15-25 ATS record when playing teams with a losing record in the second half of the season. Saints are also just 4-12 ATS under Payton when playing at home after a game where they posted a +2 turnover margin or better. Eagles are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs strong passing teams (avg. 235+ ypg) and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 in the second half of the season vs teams scoring 29 or more points/game. Give me Philadelphia +9.