This Sunday the Tennessee Titans (2-1) will host the Philadelphia Eagles (2-1). Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST at Nissan Stadium and will be televised locally on FOX.
Taking a look at the Week 4 NFL betting odds, the books opened this one up with the Eagles as a 3-point road favorite (heavy juice), but that’s since been bet up to -4. The total for this contest is currently at 41.5 points.
Vegas Game Odds & Betting Preview: Eagles vs Titans
Philadelphia comes into this one off a 20-16 win at home over the Colts in Carson Wentz’s first game back, but failed to cover for a second straight week as a 6.5-point favorite. The Eagles were a bit fortunate just to come away with the win, as they trailed in the 4th quarter and the Colts had the ball 1st and 10 at the Philadelphia 11-yard line with less than 2 minutes to play and down just 4-points.
Tennessee enters off a surprising 9-6 win on the road over the Jaguars as a 10-point underdog. It was a defensive battle to say the least, as the two teams combined for just 465 total yards and neither team was able to find the end zone. The most impressive thing about that win for the Titans was the fact that they won a game in today’s pass-happy NFL with a mere 83 yards passing.
Free NFL Betting Pick & Game Predictions: Eagles -4
I would have to lean towards laying the small number with Philadelphia in this one. No question this will be one of the biggest public plays on the board, but I think that we are getting a favorable number here with the Eagles having failed to cover their last two and not exactly looking all that great in Wentz’s first game back.
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More than anything, there’s no way i’m holding a ticket on the Titans as a mere 4-point dog with that offense they are sending out on the field. Tennessee just has no threat of a passing attack, especially after losing their biggest weapon on the outside in Delanie Walker. Coming into this game the Titans rank 29th in the NFL at just 162 ypg thru the air.
While Tennessee does have a strong ground game, that’s not going to do them a lot of good against this Eagles defense. Philadelphia leads the NFL in run defense, giving up just 61.7 ypg.
As for the Titans defense, which has looked great their last two games against the Texans and Jaguars, I don’t think its sustainable. Tennessee has played three really bad offenses to start the year and the numbers suggest they aren’t that good. The Titans are giving up 4.8 yards/carry against the run and opposing quarterbacks have completed 67% of their pass attempts against them.
I wasn’t shocked to see Wentz and the Eagles offense struggle to get going in his first game back, but I’m not all that concerned with the offense going forward. Wentz completed 25 of 37 attempts for 255 yards and would have thrown for more if the offensive line didn’t play so poorly. That’s also a much better Colts defense than people think, as they have really upgraded the talent on that side of the ball.
Tennessee is also not a team you want to back off a cover, as they are just 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 games after an ATS win. They are also just 17-39-2 ATS in their last 58 off a win and a mere 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 home games. Give me the Eagles -4.