The Baltimore Ravens (6-5) travel to Georgia this weekend to take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-7). Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on December 2nd at Mercedes-Benz Stadium and the game will be broadcast on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Ravens listed as 1-point road favorites. That line has shifted substantially after early betting, as Atlanta is currently available at -1. The total for this matchup is 48.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 13 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Falcons vs Ravens Vegas Odds & Game Preview
Baltimore won their second straight game last weekend, cruising past Oakland 34-17 to get back above .500 overall on the season and stay within striking distance of first place in the AFC North. The Ravens put on a dominant performance on the ground, rushing for 242 yards and a touchdown against a brutal Raiders run defense. QB Lamar Jackson continues to play well in relief of usual starter Joe Flacco, who has missed back to back games with a hip injury. Jackson has rushed for almost 200 yards in two games while adding 178 yards and a touchdown through the air in Week 12. RB Gus “The Bus” Edwards has also been an impact player on offense as of late, rushing for 100+ yards in back to back games. As a whole, Baltimore is currently averaging 24.6 points per game (15th overall) on 374.4 yards of total offense.
The Ravens have been fantastic defensively through their first eleven games, holding opponents to an average of just 18.0 points per game (1st overall) on 295.4 yards of total offense. Perhaps even more impressive is how well they have performed against both the run and the pass, currently ranking 3rd and 2nd overall respectively.
Atlanta lost their third straight game last week, falling 31-17 on Thanksgiving Day to New Orleans. The Falcons were outclassed on both sides of the ball, as the Saints forced four turnovers while scoring twice as many touchdowns as Matt Ryan and Co. Ryan has been enjoying an excellent statistical season so far, passing for 3,683 yards and 24 touchdowns. He also currently has a QBR of 110.6, one of the highest in the entire NFL. WR Julio Jones has looked great as well, racking up 84 receptions for 1,305 yards and three touchdowns in eleven games. There is no doubt that the offense has missed Devonta Freeman this season, as only Arizona is averaging less yards per game on the ground. Overall, Atlanta is currently averaging a respectable 25.5 points per game on 400.0 yards of total offense.
The Falcons have been dreadful on the other side of the ball so far this season, surrendering an average of 27.9 points per game to opponents (29th overall). They have been especially bad against the pass, getting torched to the tune of 273.0 yards per game through the air (26th overall).
Free NFL Betting Prediction: Baltimore +1
Despite the fact that Atlanta is playing at home this weekend, I really have a hard time putting a lot of faith in this defense in what amounts to basically a pick’em. Baltimore has actually looked much better offensively since Lamar Jackson took over, scoring 58 points over their last two games and going 2-0 in the process. They also have been extremely solid on defense pretty much all season long, as they are currently ranked inside of the top five teams overall in pretty much every defensive category.
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The Ravens are a fantastic 4-1 ATS over their last five games on the road in Atlanta. They have also dominated the Falcons against the spread as of late, going 8-1 ATS in their last nine meetings. On the other side, Atlanta is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. They are also only 1-4 ATS over their last five home games and 3-8 ATS on the season to date.
While I am expecting this game to stay close, I think that Lamar Jackson has infused enough energy and play-making ability on offense to push Baltimore over the top in this matchup. The Falcons have been unable to beat the Saints, the Cowboys, and the Browns over the last three weeks, so I can’t see them having much success at all against a gritty Ravens squad. I’ll take the single point and roll with the road underdog- give me Baltimore.