The Tennessee Titans travel to Georgia this weekend to face the Atlanta Falcons in a battle between two teams currently sitting at 1-2 on the season. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on September 29th at Mercedes-Benz Stadium and the game will be broadcast on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened this game up with the Falcons listed as 5-point home favorites. That line has shifted by a full point after early betting, as Atlanta is currently available at -4. The total for this matchup is 45.5 points. Click here for a full look at the Week 4 NFL odds and for more links to our individual game previews.
Falcons vs Titans Game Odds & Betting Preview
The Titans dropped back under .500 overall last week, falling 20-7 to Jacksonville on Thursday Night Football. Tennessee fell behind 14-0 in the first quarter and never recovered, scoring just a single touchdown all game long. QB Marcus Mariota had another rough start, going 23/40 for 304 passing yards but no touchdowns. RB Derrick Henry led the way on the ground, rushing for 44 yards and a touchdown on 17 carries. Adam Humphries was the only Titans receiver who really got anything going against a tough Jaguars secondary, making six receptions for 93 yards. As a whole, the offense generated 395 total yards and found the end zone once in the double-digit loss.
Tennessee was slightly better on the other side of the ball in Week 3, holding Jacksonville to 292 total yards of offense and two touchdowns. The Titans really did a solid job against the run, holding the Jags to under 90 rushing yards.
The Falcons also fell to 1-2 on the season in Week 3, coming up just short to Indianapolis on the road. Atlanta trailed 20-3 at the end of the first half and couldn’t quite pull off the comeback, scoring 21 points over the final 30 minutes but still losing 27-24. QB Matt Ryan was very good, going 29/34 for 304 yards and three touchdowns. Julio Jones was a monster in the receiving game yet again, making eight catches for 128 yards and a touchdown. Austin Hooper also had a very strong game, hauling in six receptions for 66 yards and two touchdowns. RB Devonta Freeman received the bulk of the work on the ground, averaging 5.5 yards per carry over 16 touches. Overall, the Falcons gained 397 total yards of offense and scored three touchdowns in a losing cause.
Atlanta had a below average performance defensively in Week 3, giving up almost 400 yards of total offense and three touchdowns to the Colts offense. The Falcons really got burned through the air, as Indianapolis QB Jacoby Brissett passed for over 300 yards and threw two touchdowns.
Free NFL Betting Predictions and ATS Pick: Falcons -4
To be honest, I really don’t see a lot of value here both against the spread or with the total. Both of these teams are currently in the basement of their respective divisions and have seriously under-performed to this point. However, I do have slightly more faith in the Falcons offense, as Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, and even Calvin Ridley have really played well for the most part. On the other side, Tennessee has been consistently terrible, scoring just 24 points over their last two games after exploding for 43 points against Cleveland in Week 1. With Atlanta playing at home here in Week 4, I think I trust them in this matchup just a touch more than the Titans – especially since they have faced a much more difficult schedule to open the year.
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Tennessee is also only 1-4 against the spread over their last five games overall. While the Falcons have also struggled against the spread as of late, they are 5-2 straight up over their last seven meetings with the Titans at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. While I will likely avoid this matchup entirely on a very busy morning slate of action, I’d certainly rather take my chances with Atlanta at home than roll the dice with the Tennessee offense if I was forced to pick a side. I’ll lay the four points and take a stab with the small home favorite – give me the Falcons.