The #7 overall Georgia Bulldogs (6-1) host the #9 Florida Gators (6-1) this Saturday in a battle between two teams that are both currently ranked inside of the Top 10 nationwide. Kickoff is set for 3:30 PM EST at TIAA Bank Field and the game will be available on CBS.
Taking a look at the Week 9 college football odds, Georgia opened as a 6.5-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has moved only slightly after early betting, as the Bulldogs are currently listed at -7. The total for the game is sitting at 55.5 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Georgia vs Florida
Florida won their fifth consecutive game last weekend after a slow start against Vanderbilt. The Gators trailed 21-13 at the half but put on a show for the final two quarters en route to a 37-17 victory to improve to 6-1 overall this season. Florida did have some trouble with turning the ball over against the Commodores, as they committed two fumbles and one interception. Apart from getting picked off and losing a fumble, QB Feleipe Franks had a decent game for the Gators, as he passed for over 200 yards and added two touchdowns. Franks had a ton of help from the dynamic RB duo of Lamical Perine and Jordan Scarlett, who combined for 234 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. Overall, Florida is currently averaging a very healthy 34.4 points per game (35th overall).
On the other side of the ball, the Gators have been one of the better defensive teams in the country all year long. They are currently giving up an average of just 16.6 points per game (15th overall) on 324.4 total yards (23rd). Florida has a dominant secondary that is yielding only 160.1 yards per game through the air, which is 6th overall nationwide. However, they have struggled a little bit against the run, as opponents are averaging an alarming 163.1 rushing yards per game (73rd overall). The Gators will need to address that leak immediately if they hope to have a chance at pulling off the upset this weekend against a potent Bulldogs rushing attack.
Georgia had an extra week to think about their tough Week 7 loss against LSU at the beginning of October, so they should be extremely hungry heading into this matchup against another quality opponent. There is no doubt the Bulldogs have a ton to play for as they attempt to redeem themselves after suffering their first loss of the season in Death Valley. QB Jake Fromm struggled mightily against the Tigers, throwing for just 209 yards and one touchdown while also completing less than 50% of his passes and getting picked off twice. Fromm will look to regain the momentum he had going over the first six weeks of the season where the passed for over 1,000 yards and twelve touchdowns. Backup Justin Fields has looked good in his minor roll offensively to this point, rushing for 136 yards and three touchdowns in limited game action. As a whole, Georgia is currently averaging 39.0 points per game (18th overall).
Things have been equally as impressive for the Bulldogs on the other side of the ball, as they are giving up an average of just 16.3 points per game (13th overall). Georgia has been especially good against the pass, as opponents are only averaging 174.3 yards per game through the air (15th overall). They also are currently ranked 40th overall against the run, which is also quite respectable.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Florida +7
This should be one of the most entertaining games on the schedule here in Week 9, as both of these teams have looked fantastic so far this year. Florida appears to be really rolling right now, as they have reeled off five straight victories since losing 27-16 to Kentucky back in Week 2. Georgia had been cruising along as well before LSU gave them a bit of a wake up call last weekend. I’m still not sure which way this game will go, as either team could escape with a victory on Saturday afternoon. However, I think leaving a full touchdown on the table in a game that will likely come right down to the wire is a mistake. The Gators could easily win this game outright, but even if they don’t, I’m taking the free touchdown all day in this spot.
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Georgia hasn’t been sharp coming off of a bye week lately, going just 3-11 ATS over their last fourteen games. The Bulldogs are also a very mediocre 3-4 ATS so far this season, while Florida is currently 6-1 ATS in their seven games this year. The Gators have also gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against Georgia and 4-0 ATS over their last four conference games.
It is also important to note that while this game is technically a home game for Georgia on the schedule, it’s actually being played in Jacksonville. So not only do the Bulldogs not have the benefit of their usual rowdy home crowd, it’s actually a heck of a lot closer to being a home game for Florida than it is for Georgia. Ultimately, I think there is too much value on the Gators side to lay the points and hope for the Bulldogs to win by at least a touchdown. Look for Florida to keep this one close or even win straight up.