With Randy Shannon serving as interim head coach, the Florida Gators will visit the Missouri Tigers. Game time is set for noon EST on Saturday, November 4 at Memorial Stadium in Columbia, Missouri. Fans can watch the game nationally on ESPN2.
Florida initially opened as 3-point favorites on the road. However, the spread has gone the other way, with the Tigers now viewed as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 59.5 points. Click here for a full list of Week 10 betting odds and links to game previews.
Florida vs Missouri Game Betting Preview & Vegas Odds
Within 48 hours of a humiliating 42-7 loss to Georgia, Florida parted ways with head coach Jim McElwain. It’s now up to Shannon to salvage the season for the Gators.
Florida sits at 3-4 on the heels of a three-game losing streak and needs to win three of their final four games to get to a bowl game. If the Gators don’t get a win over Missouri, not going to a bowl game will become a real possibility.
Missouri is in a similar position. The Tigers are 3-5 and need to win three of their last four to reach a bowl game. The difference is that Missouri has won their last two games, so they have some positive momentum.
Of course, those wins have come against Idaho and Connecticut. The Tigers remain winless in SEC play, and they’ll see a fractured Florida team as the perfect opponent to score their first conference win of the season.
Free NCAA Football Pick Against the Spread: Florida +3.5
How the Gators will play in their first game since their head coach was fired is anybody’s guess. But I can see the Gators rallying around Shannon, going on the road, and getting a win. With the spread swinging in Missouri’s favor, I’ll lean toward Florida and the points.
Last week’s game against Georgia was not an accurate depiction of Florida. The Gators fell behind 21-0 midway through the 1st quarter against one of the best teams in the country and wasn’t able to recover. With all the controversy swirling around McElwain at the time, I’m not going to take that game too seriously.
Click on the link for more free NCAA football picks against the spread and total.
Remember, prior to the Georgia game, Florida’s previous two losses came by a combined three points against LSU and Texas A&M, two quality teams. The Gators have plenty of problems. For instance, they still don’t have an answer at the quarterback position, with Shannon indicating that Malik Zaire could get a chance to win back the job. But they’re still a solid defensive team and they are not nearly as bad as Missouri.
The Tigers have proven that they can score a lot of points against bad teams. But that’s all they’ve proven this year. Against SEC teams, Missouri is averaging 22 points per game, nearly two touchdowns less than their season average. Only 10 of Drew Lock’s 28 touchdown passes have come in conference play. The Tigers don’t move the ball so easily against good defensive teams, and Florida’s defense is likely the best they’ve seen this year outside of Georgia and Auburn.
Meanwhile, the Tigers are giving up 36 points per game, making them one of the worst defensive teams in the country. The Florida offense isn’t great, but the Gators should have enough playmakers on offense to do some damage against a porous defense.
Admittedly, there’s a chance that the Gators will lay down and give up on the season. But I think they’ll respond positively to the turmoil around McElwain finally being sorted out. With Florida being the better defensive team in this matchup, I have no problem leaning toward the Gators, especially with a 3.5-point cushion.