Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing 15-3 all sports run including a longer term $75000.00 plus dime player run!
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Basketball Totals (+9425) 1146-960 L2106 54%
All Sports Picks (+7433) 445-336 L781 57%
NBA Totals (+5963) 594-491 L1085 55%
MLB Money Lines (+5050) 998-908 L1906 52%
NCAA-B Picks (+4647) 255-189 L444 57%
NHL Money Lines (+3221) 100-61 L161 62%
NCAA-F Picks (+3168) 1052-929 L1981 53%
Football Totals (+2705) 270-222 L492 55%
NFL Picks (+606) 205-180 L385 53%
NFLX Sides (+371) 9-5 L14 64%
Fighting Picks (+345) 4-1 L5 80%
WNBA Sides (+190) 151-137 L288 52%
CFL Totals (+136) 10-8 L18 56%
Soccer Totals (+100) 1-0 L1 100%
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#Marlins vs #Cubs | #Cubs -147 | Premium | 0-0 | Push | 0 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
The Mariners have momentum entering this game having won 3 straight, while their hosts Colorado have lost 5 straight and are fade material in their current form.
SEATTLE is 26-10 against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The Mariners will send Emerson Hancock (1-2, 7.98 ERA) in the first of three games at Colorado while the Rockies will counter with Dakota Hudson (0-3, 4.15). Hancock was smacked around for eight earned runs in 3 1/2 innings at Milwaukee on April 7 but pitched well in a 4-1 loss to the Cubs on Saturday and deserves respect here according to my early season pitcher vs batting order projections.
MLB favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season against opponent with a very bad bullpen whose WHIP is 1.650 or worse on the season are 43-9 L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.
MLB team (SEATTLE) - AL team with a poor SLG (.410 or less) against a good NL starting pitcher (WHIP 1.250 to 1.300), starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 25-8 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors .
Play on Seattle to win
In a game like this the physicality and die heard defense that ranks 3rd in NBA in ppg allowed gives the the Heat an advantage. The Bulls rank 16th in the league in D, and their offense has generally been sub standard ranking 22nd in ppg output.
MIAMI is 22-10 ATS in April games over the last 3 seasons.
NBA Home teams (MIAMI) - after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 130 points or more are 34-8 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors
Play on Miami to cover
The Kings are off a conclusive victory last time out, vs Golden State by a 118-94 count. Note: SACRAMENTO L/16 after allowing 105 points or less this season have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored. Meanwhile, the Pelicans lost a 110-106 battle to the experienced Lakers last time out, but Im betting on them being more aggressive here tonight offensively which in turn will help us see the combined score eclipse this offering. Brown L/42 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of SACRAMENTO has seen a combined average of 230.2 ppg scored.
The nine most recent meetings in this series have all eclipsed this totals offering and Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here again tonight.
NEW ORLEANS L/72 games versus sub par defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or worse 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 222.5 ppg scored.
SACRAMENTOs L/41 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or better of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons haver seen a combined average of 232.8 ppg scored. SACRAMENTO L/24 in road games versus very good shooting teams - making 48% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 231.4 ppg scored.
SACRAMENTO L/12 in road games when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 229.2 ppg scored.
NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - off 2 or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 65-37 OVER L/27 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the over
Our Review of Betting Handicapper Alex Smart
For three decades, Alex has professionally engaged in sports and horse racing betting. His selections have been meticulously documented over the past 22 years. In 2009, he was honored as the NFL Handicapper of the Year at a renowned event and clinched the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. Additionally, he has secured the title of NBA World Champion in 9 out of the last 11 seasons. On an annual basis, Alex consistently outperforms the College Hoops bookmakers with a strategic high-volume approach.
This Guru’s Sports Handicapping Approach
Alex possesses unwavering confidence in his methodologies. There isn’t a sport he believes he can’t master. Smart’s handicapping strategy is best described as “The Smart Money Approach.” He is thorough in his research, leveraging a vast database of information and statistics. Factors such as injuries, current and historical trends, form, weather, surface conditions, and line movement are all integral to his decision-making process.
Perspective on Sports Betting as an Investment
Many draw parallels between the unpredictability in sports betting and the stock market, attributing streaks of performance to mere chance. However, both realms present significant variables that, when understood, can offer an investor an edge. With diligent research and a comprehensive understanding of the facts, long-term profitability is achievable.
In his view, sports betting offers an edge over traditional stock markets. In sports betting, the investor retains greater control over their funds, with the flexibility to take breaks without fearing unforeseen losses. Conversely, traditional markets expose investments like 401Ks to the whims of a volatile marketplace, often accompanied by exorbitant broker fees. While profiting consistently from sports betting is challenging, those who succeed often enjoy returns surpassing those of market investors. This philosophy underpins every wager he places, and he approaches his portfolio with utmost seriousness.
Money Management for Gamblers to Follow
Achieving success in sports betting requires a long-term vision. Before embarking on this journey, it’s crucial to establish a robust bankroll. Conservative bettors might allocate 1-2% of their bankroll per game, reserving up to 3% for the most promising bets. While this may seem modest, it ensures sustainability in the unpredictable world of sports betting.
Here are some guidelines he advocates for:
- Seek the most favorable betting lines from trustworthy sources.
- Maintain discipline; avoid deviating from the advised bankroll allocation for individual bets. Chasing losses is counterproductive.
- Recognize that your bankroll is vital. Treat it with the same care as funds allocated for a business venture.
- Consider buying off the hook on pivotal numbers.
- Grasp the significance and technique of middling.
- Maintain a detailed record of all bets and outcomes, incorporating them into your overarching statistical database.
In your pursuit of long-term gains, these factors are pivotal. As the late Jimmy the Greek wisely noted, “The house doesn’t beat the player; it merely provides him the chance to defeat himself.”