This Friday the Fresno State Bulldogs will host the San Diego State Aztecs. Kickoff for this Week 7 contest is set for 10:00 EST at Bulldog Stadium. It will be televised on the CBS Sports Network. Oddsmakers have San Diego State listed as a 17-point favorite with the total at 55 points.
San Diego St vs Fresno St Vegas Point Spread Preview
The Aztecs (4-1, 1-0 MWC) come in off an easy 26-7 win at home against UNLV. It could have been a lot worse, but they got the cover as a 16.5-point favorite. San Diego State had a massive 460 to 122 edge in total yards and 22-9 advantage in first downs.
The Bulldogs (1-5, 0-2 MWC) enter off a 22-27 loss at Nevada. It was Fresno State’s 4th straight defeat since beating Sacramento St 31-3 back in Week 2. On the bright side, Bulldog backers got the cover as they were a 7-point dog to the Wolf Pack.
Fresno State had won 3 straight in the series prior to last year. San Diego State snapped the losing streak with a 21-7 home win in impressive fashion. The Bulldogs finished with a 409 to 89 edge in total yards.
Free Pick & Odds Predictions: San Diego State -17
This is a big number for the Aztecs to lay on the road, but one they are definitely capable of covering. Fresno State has lost by 33 to Nebraska and 35 to Toledo. They also have a 41-48 loss to Tulsa in a game they were outscored 48-10 after leading 31-0.
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The big key here is that Aztecs should have zero problem finishing off drives with touchdowns. San Diego State comes in ranked 22nd in the country in rushing at 236.8 ypg. Led by one of the best running backs in the nation in Donnel Pumphrey. Who has already rushed for 891 yards and 9 scores on 129 attempts (6.9 yards/carry).
Pumphrey could put up video game numbers in this one. Fresno State comes in ranked 126th in the country against the run, giving up 272.0 ypg. That’s with them allowing just 96 yards rushing against Sacramento State. In their last 4 games they have allowed 318, 344, 364 and 226 yards on the ground.
They simply don’t have the talent to stop the other team from running it down their throat. I don’t believe this is a case where they are going to feed off the home crowd. Something that you have to factor in these weekday games. I have to think there’s a lot better things the Fresno State fans can think of doing than watch this team lose. Keep in mind the season is already a lost cause with them sitting at 1-5.
It’s not the offense where the Aztecs figure to have an edge. San Diego State comes in ranked 15th in the country in total defense, allowing just 315 ypg. Fresno State’s offense ranks 96th in the country at just 378 ypg. That’s with them putting up 474 yards in their lone win against Sacramento State.
I know San Diego State lost their last road game outright at South Alabama as a 19.5-point favorite. I actually think that works in their favor in terms of covering the spread. The loss will serve as a good reminder that they can’t take any team lightly. A focused Aztecs team should have no problem winning here by 20+ points.