The #3 overall Georgia Bulldogs (2-0) host the Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-1) in college football action from Athens on Saturday. Kickoff is set for 12:00 PM EST on Saturday, September 14th at Sanford Stadium and the game will be televised on ESPN2.
Taking a look at the Week 3 college football odds, Georgia opened as a massive 33-point home favorite earlier this week. That line has shifted by half a point after early betting, as the Bulldogs are currently listed at -33.5. The total for the game is sitting at 57 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Georgia vs Arkansas State
Arkansas State got back to .500 on the season last weekend after crushing UNLV 43-17 on the road. The Red Wolves offense came out firing on all cylinders, scoring 23 points in the first half and never looking back. QB Logan Bonner was solid, going 22/37 for 284 yards and two touchdowns. Bonner’s favorite target in Week 2 was clearly WR Omar Bayless, who hauled in six catches for 149 yards and a score. RB Ryan Graham also turned in a big performance, rushing twelve times for 103 yards and a touchdown. As a whole, Arkansas State racked up well over 400 total yards and scored four touchdowns against a weak Rebels defense.
The Red Wolves defense played well above average in Week 2, limiting UNLV to well under 300 total yards of offense and just two touchdowns. Arkansas State was especially strong against the pass, giving up only 112 yards through the air and forcing an interception.
Georgia is still unbeaten through the first two weeks of the regular season after crushing Murray State 63-17 at home last weekend. The Bulldogs offense put on an absolute clinic in the first half, scoring 42 total points including 35 in the second quarter alone. QB Jake Fromm didn’t have to do much, going 10/11 for 166 yards and a touchdown before giving way to Stetson Bennett and Nathan Priestley. Zamir White and D’Andre Swift led the way on the ground, combining for 139 rushing yards and three touchdowns. WR Georgia Pickens also had a big game, catching four passes for 78 yards and a touchdown. Overall, Georgia accumulated over 550 total yards of offense and scored eight touchdowns against a weak Racers defense.
The Bulldogs defense also looked pretty solid against Murray State, giving up just one touchdown on less than 300 total yards of offense. Georgia was especially impressive against the run, as the Racers finished with just 23 total rushing yards and didn’t have an offensive player who gained more than eight yards on the ground.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: OVER 57
While I’m fairly confident that Georgia will be able to cover the massive 33.5-point spread on Saturday afternoon, I am also a little bit leery of an Arkansas State offense that has scored at least 30 points per game through the first two weeks of the season. Of course, they have been up against well below average defenses (SMU and UNLV) and will likely struggle to find any consistency against a Bulldogs defense that is giving up less than 70 yards per game on the ground. However, I think the OVER on 57 points offers the best value in this matchup for two reasons. First, Georgia could easily score 50+ points on their own, as they certainly showed the huge upside this offense has in Week 2 against Murray State. Secondly, the Red Wolves appear to finally be able to move the ball consistently through the air, as Logan Bonner has now passed for over 600 yards and six touchdowns in just two games. Even if Arkansas State only finds the end zone 2-3 times, I would shocked if Georgia didn’t score 45+ points against a defense that just gave up 30+ points to SMU in Week 1.
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As a whole, the Red Wolves are averaging 36.5 points a game so far this season. Georgia, on the other hand, is currently averaging 46.5 points per game. While the Bulldogs should be able to match or beat their season average with relative ease at home here in Week 3, Arkansas State will certainly have a much tougher time repeating their recent offensive success. Still, I like the Red Wolves to score at least 14 points – especially with the almost guaranteed garbage time on tap in the second half once the game is out of reach. That would push the total to 58-60+, so the OVER on 57 seems like a pretty good bet to me.