This Saturday all eyes will be glued to the TV when the No. 2 LSU Tigers take on the No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs in the 2019 SEC Championship Game. Kickoff is set for 3:30 EST at Mercedez-Benz Stadium and will be televised nationally on CBS.
Oddsmakers opened up this line at LSU -3.5, but that number didn’t stick for long, as early money on the Tigers has LSU up to -7.5 in the title game. The total opened up at 55.5 and is anywhere from 55 to 54 depending on where you shop.
Click here for a full look at the Week 15 CFB odds and for more links to our game previews.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: LSU vs Georgia
Georgia Bulldogs (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS)
The Bulldogs come into this one off a 52-7 blowout win over in-state rival Georgia Tech, easily covering as a 28-point favorite. While they ended up winning by 45, those that took Georgia were sweating early, as the Bulldogs only led 17-7 at the half. With that said, it was never really in doubt that Georgia would win, as they finished with a 500-139 edge in total yards and had 26 first downs to the Yellow Jackets 7.
That’s now 6 straight wins for the Bulldogs since that shocking 17-20 home loss to South Carolina. Not only has Georgia been winning down the stretch, they have covered 4 of their last 5.
For the Bulldogs it’s pretty simple. Win and they are in the college football playoffs. Lose and they are out. They were in this exact same spot last year against Alabama and lost 35-28 after leading 28-14 in the 2nd half.
LSU Tigers (12-0 SU, 7-4-1 ATS)
The Tigers concluded their perfect regular-season in style, as they absolutely laid it on Texas A&M 50-7, easily covering as a 17.5-point home favorite. LSU put that game away early, as they led 31-0 at the half. The Tigers finished the game with a 553 to 169 edge in total yards and a 31-12 advantage in first downs.
LSU was one of three teams to finish with a perfect 12-0 record. Ohio State and Clemson being the other two. The Tigers would preferably like to win here and lock up their spot in the playoffs with their first SEC title since 2011. However, they are likely in even with a loss, as long as they don’t get absolutely destroyed.
This will be just the second meeting between these two SEC programs since 2013. They did however play last year in the regular-season. LSU won that contest 36-16 as a 7-point home dog. It was the only loss for the Bulldogs in the regular-season. Joe Burrow was only 15 of 30 for 200 yards passing in the win, but did rush for 66 yards and two scores. The Tigers as a team had 275 yards and 3 scores on the ground. It was the most points Georgia allowed in any game all season.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Georgia +7.5
My early lean here would be take the touchdown and the hook with the Bulldogs in the SEC title game. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Georgia in this matchup, as they are more than capable of winning this game outright.
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All the talk is going to be centered around LSU quarterback Joe Burrow and the LSU offense and how Georgia won’t be able to keep pace. It’s hard to blame the public for their fascination with Burrow. He’s been exceptional and is a lock to win the Heisman Trophy.
My focus is on the other side of the ball, where I feel Georgia is the superior team. The Bulldogs are 2nd nationally in scoring defense, allowing just 10.4 ppg and are 4th in total defense, giving up just 257.0 ypg. They are No.2 in the country against the run (71.1 ppg) and No. 15 against the pass (186.0 ypg). Georgia hasn’t allowed more than 17 points in a single game this season and if they can keep that streak alive I think they win here outright.
I also like the fact that the Bulldogs have been in this spot before under Kirby Smart, as they have played in the SEC title game each of the last two years and were in the championship games just two seasons ago. I also think you can’t overlook the fact that this game means so much more to Georgia. The Bulldogs need to win to get into the playoffs, while LSU knows in the back of their minds that they are in even with a loss. Give me Georgia +7.5.