The #6 overall Georgia Bulldogs (7-1) host the Missouri Tigers (5-3) this weekend for a SEC clash from Athens. Kickoff is set for 7:00 PM EST on November 9th at Sanford Stadium and the game will be televised on ESPN.
Taking a look at the Week 11 college football odds, Georgia opened as a 17-point home favorite earlier this week. The spread hasn’t moved at all after early betting, as the Bulldogs are currently available at -17. The total for the game is sitting at 47 points.
Vegas Betting Preview & Game Odds: Georgia vs Missouri
Missouri couldn’t find a way to get past Kentucky their last time out, falling 29-7 on the road to drop to 5-3 on the season overall. The Tigers gave up 22 unanswered points in the second quarter and never recovered, scoring just a single touchdown all game en route to their second consecutive loss. QB Kelly Bryant went 10/19 for 130 passing yards and a touchdown through the air while Larry Rountree III rushed for 58 yards on a team-high 15 carries. Tyler Badie was on the receiving end of the only passing touchdown of the game for Bryant, as he hit pay dirt on one of his two catches for 82 yards. Overall, Missouri generated just under 300 total yards of offense against a tough Wildcats defense.
The Tigers didn’t have a great outing on the other side of the ball against Kentucky, surrendering just under 350 total yards of offense and four touchdowns. Missouri couldn’t find a way to slow down the Wildcats on the ground, as they rushed for almost 300 yards.
Georgia won their second straight game last weekend, beating #10 overall Florida 24-17 on the road to improve to 7-1 on the season overall. The Bulldogs had a 16-3 lead at the end of the third quarter and managed to hold on down the stretch despite giving up two touchdowns over the final 15 minutes of the game. QB Jake Fromm played quite well, going 20/30 for 279 passing yards and two touchdowns through the air. RB D’Andre Swift led the way on the ground, rushing for 86 yards on a team-high 25 carries. Lawrence Cager torched the Gators secondary, hauling in seven catches for 132 receiving yards and a score. As a a whole, Georgia gained over 400 total yards and scored two touchdowns on offense against a very strong Gators defense.
The Bulldogs were very solid defensively against Florida, holding the Gators to under 300 total yards of offense and two touchdowns. Georgia was especially strong defending against the run, allowing only 22 net rushing yards on the ground.
NCAA Football Betting Predictions & Free Pick: Georgia -17
I think that there is still some value to be found with the Bulldogs against the spread in this particular spot, especially at home where they are 4-1 on the season overall. While Missouri got off to a strong start to the season on offense, they have now scored just 21 total points over their last two games combined. Things certainly don’t get easier for the Tigers here in Week 11, as Georgia hasn’t given up more than 20 points in a single game all year. They also don’t have any margin for error at all after losing a heart-breaker in overtime against South Carolina back in Week 7. It certainly has showed in their play over the last couple of games, as they shutout Kentucky before a fantastic outing on the road last Saturday against a formidable Florida squad.
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The Bulldogs have also dominated this SEC East matchup as of late, winning six out of the last seven meetings between these two teams overall. While some might point to the fact that Missouri is 5-1 against the spread over their last six games against Georgia, I’m not really concerned about that at all due to how poorly the Tigers have played on the road so far this year. Not only are they 0-3 straight up, they have also failed to cover the spread in every one of those three losses away from Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium. I’m going to eat the chalk and lay the 17 points in this critical SEC showdown – give me the Bulldogs to cover!